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The implications of a 2nd Spike in September?
Discussion started by Zint (IP Logged), 02 June, 2020 13:00
Zint
Zint
02 June, 2020 13:00
Government scientists are predicting a 2nd COVID 19 spike in September. That will, presumably mean another form of lockdown by then. Maybe not the 10 weeks we have had now, but 6-8 weeks.

Not sure how this will impact the new season, which looks like it will start later anyway. Presumably infection rates will start climbing in August? I suspect it still means it will be January 2021 before we are allowed back into football grounds.

Uptonrover
Uptonrover
02 June, 2020 13:13
I guess so, we’ve had quite a nice 7-10 days on itu with very few patients and the hospital itself (APH) has been quite quiet i believe. BUT yesterday there were over 200 admissions to APH not all covid but its picking up again.

Marlow!'s foot
Marlow!'s foot
02 June, 2020 13:31
Hopefully by September they will have trialled enough drugs to find at least one that alleviates the symptoms and drastically reduces the death rate. Might even be a vaccine in the pipeline. We can only hope.

This is @#$%&
This is sh1t
02 June, 2020 15:57
If there are more protests as well as more things open now maybe we get a new peak in 3-4 weeks

Bored rover
Bored rover
02 June, 2020 17:34
A second peak isn’t definitely set to happen, it hasn't yet happened elsewhere following relaxation of lockdowns, scientist are also saying the second peak is based on flawed modelling were the spread was compared to flu early on in the pandemic, now they have more data about Covid they have altered the modelling with many suggesting it may not come round for a second peak. There has also been strides made in identifying those vulnerable to the disease suggesting the use of T-cell counts which will hopefully allow medics to identify at an early stage individuals who will require long term hospital treatment. The vaccine under development has not had great initial results apparently. All 5 of the monkeys given the vaccine contracted Covid, all be it the severity of illness and long term damage being less than in the monkeys infected who had no benefit of a vaccine.

TwelfthofMay-ResurrectionDay
TwelfthofMay-ResurrectionDay
02 June, 2020 17:45
We still don't know that much about covid 19. Where distancing has been effective it's undoubtedly reduced the infection rate, but estimates from other European countries suggest that only about 5% of the population has had it, so even if surviving the illness confers immunity (and it probably does) there are a lot of unexposed people out there.

Either we wait for it to go away (which could take a couple of years) or we develop an effective vaccine that the anti-vaxers can accept.

Be a long time before we see a crowd IMHO

kennyspint
kennyspint
02 June, 2020 23:54
Sadly agree

gary anderson
gary anderson
03 June, 2020 05:53
Yes I agree to .but when this or if this is over some heads must roll Hancock and Patel fit to the scaffold Boris to the back benches and cut all ties with China

Pitou
Pitou
05 June, 2020 20:36
lets hope it's around December for the second wave and Tranmere are in the promotion spots in league 2 , wonder if same rules apply


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