Quote:Zint
Hang on, United and Tottenham have players on a huge wedge. So how come they are where they are in the table. Or Arsenal?
Overly simplistic.
Quote:Old lira?Dan SWA
CBJ on over half a million a year!
Quote:Zint
Hang on, United and Tottenham have players on a huge wedge. So how come they are where they are in the table. Or Arsenal?
Overly simplistic.
Quote:mrGr33n13Quote:Zint
Hang on, United and Tottenham have players on a huge wedge. So how come they are where they are in the table. Or Arsenal?
Overly simplistic.
men are taller than women
summer is warmer than spring
football clubs success closely correlates to squad salary.
you will find exceptions to that rule, but £
££ is by far the biggest predictor of success.
sometimes sides over value players - see man and pogba. or their squad's salary is skewed by a small number of incredibly well payed players [arsenal - ozil].
leicester are a team that actively look for inefficiencies in the transfer market and are reaping the rewards. but it's a hard trend to buck and it's true for all leagues.
Quote:mrGr33n13Quote:Zint
Hang on, United and Tottenham have players on a huge wedge. So how come they are where they are in the table. Or Arsenal?
Overly simplistic.
men are taller than women
summer is warmer than spring
football clubs success closely correlates to squad salary.
you will find exceptions to that rule, but £££ is by far the biggest predictor of success.
sometimes sides over value players - see man and pogba. or their squad's salary is skewed by a small number of incredibly well payed players [arsenal - ozil].
leicester are a team that actively look for inefficiencies in the transfer market and are reaping the rewards. but it's a hard trend to buck and it's true for all leagues.
Quote:ZintQuote:mrGr33n13Quote:Zint
Hang on, United and Tottenham have players on a huge wedge. So how come they are where they are in the table. Or Arsenal?
Overly simplistic.
men are taller than women
summer is warmer than spring
football clubs success closely correlates to squad salary.
you will find exceptions to that rule, but £££ is by far the biggest predictor of success.
sometimes sides over value players - see man and pogba. or their squad's salary is skewed by a small number of incredibly well payed players [arsenal - ozil].
leicester are a team that actively look for inefficiencies in the transfer market and are reaping the rewards. but it's a hard trend to buck and it's true for all leagues.
No doubt summer is warmer than spring, but the weather isn’t always great. Using one indicator doesn’t give you an answer.
As I said, overly simplistic. Exceptionalisim is always a more interesting route of study. I.e. rather than accept the perceived wisdom that kids from poor backgrounds don’t perform well in education look at why certain kids from poor backgrounds do well. It’s not all about luck.
Quote:I agree and people try to apply the moneyball theories too much to football. It worked in baseball because it is a massively stats driven game, where the regular season is 160+ games long. Stats will out over a long enough period like that. It's stopped working so well in baseball now because everyone gets it and interestingly enough Oakland never actually won anything. Moneyball just allowed them to massively outperform their owner's wage restrictions and be competitive for a few years.mrGr33n13
When poor kids do well in school it's usually because their poor parents behave like the median rich parents.
My point about summer being warmer than spring is that exceptions do not negate the general rule.
Look at the link I posted.
Wage bills account for 90% of success and outliers rarely challenge that in a systematic way. There are cases like the Oakland baseball team where a flaw in the system is exploited and you can consistently buck the trend and compete on lower wages. But once the flaw is exposed the market become efficient again and you are left with £££ being the most important factor.