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Re: 130-goal - we need to win all remaining games to be Top-4
Posted by: Merlin96
Date: 16/02/2018 02:40
February 3, 2018 -- Round #26, Match #39
Arsenal 5-1 Everton [Ramsey, Koscielny, Ramsey, Aubameyang, Ramsey]

February 10, 2018 -- Round #27, Match #40
Tiny Totts 1-0 Arsenal
[]

February 15, 2018 -- Round #27, Match #42 Europa Cup knockout Round 1L
Ostersunds 0-3 Arsenal [Monreal, o.g., Ozil]

February 22, 2018 -- Round #27, Match #43 Europa Cup knockout Round 2L
Arsenal vs Ostersunds []

February 25, 2018 -- Round #27, Match #44 Carabao Cup Final
Arsenal v Manchester City []


March 1, 2018 -- Round #28, Match #45
Arsenal v Manchester City []
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
The expectation for 130-goal 2017/18 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.
STRIKERS sold and out on-loan: Alexis Sanchez, Oliver Giroud and Chuba Akpom.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 46.75% out of 65% expectation … 36 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 23.38% out of 25% expectation … 18 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed ... 24.68% out of 07% expectation … 19 out of 09 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"..................... 5.19% out of 03% expectation ….. 4 out of 04 goals which met expectation.

STRIKERS with Lacazette and Welbeck are plain awful and cannot hit a barndoor with a banjo.
MIDFIELD are starting to score.
Lacazette had degenerated into a long line of Arsenal French strikers that cannot get 20+ league goals per season – Wiltord, Gervinho, Chamakh and Giroud.
Forward-3 in Welbeck–Lacazette–Iwobi is the worst ever since 1996 during Wenger Era.
DEFENCE is still outscoring MIDFIELD!


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 6 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 58 games.
77 goals scored =
1.88 goals per game after playing 41 games overall.
3.12 goals per game for remaining 17 games to reach 130 goals.
59% of 130 goals after playing 71% of expected 58 games.

….. 6 goals scored = 1.20 goals per game after playing 5 League Cup games.
… 17 goals scored = 2.43 goals per game after playing 7 Europa Cup games.
….. 3 goals scored = 1.50 goals per game after playing Community Shield + FA Cup Round #3.
… 51 goals scored = 1.89 goals per game after playing 27 League games.

Community Shield is the 1st game for this season.

Sead Kolasinac scored the first goal of the season during Community Shield.
Sead Kolasinac scored the first Europa Cup goal.
Walcott scored the first League Cup goal.
Lacazette scored the first league goal of the season.

Koscielny is the 21st goal scorer.
Aubameyang is the 22nd goal scorer.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:

….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Santi Cazorla
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Calum Chambers

….. 01 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 03 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 05 ... 02 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 06 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 10 ... 04 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 02 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 12 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Jack Wilshere
….. 13 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Debuchy
….. 15 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 17 ... 02 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 02 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 22 ... 05 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 24 ... 02 ... 01 - 00 -- 01 -- 00 --- Per Mertesacker
….. 26 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 31 ... 05 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 32 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 36 ... 04 ... 00 - 03 -- 00 -- 01 --- Theo Walcott
….. 39 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 47 ... 08 ... 07 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexis Sanchez
….. 54 ... 07 ... 04 - 03 -- 00 -- 00 --- Olivier Giroud
….. 60 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 65 ... 05 ... 03 - 00 -- 01 -- 01 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 74 ... 09 ... 09 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 77 ... 03 ... 01 - 01 -- 01 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac

Goal scorers.

01) Lacazette................ ..9 goals out of 22 goals expectation
02) Alexis...................... ..8 goals out of 10 goals expectation
03) Giroud.................... .. 7 goals out of 10 goals expectation
04) Ramsey.................. .. 6 goals out of 12 goals expectation
05) Welbeck................. .. 5 goals out of 12 goals expectation
06) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 06 goals expectation
07) Monreal.................. …5 goals out of 01 goals which exceeded expectation
08) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 4 goals out of 04 goals which met expectation

09) Walcott................... .. 4 goals out of 05 goals expectation
10) Kolasinac............... …3 goals out of 01 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Bellerin................... .. 3 goals out of 01 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Nketiah.................. … 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Mustafi.................... .. 2 goals out of 01 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Mertesacker ........... .. 2 goals out of 02 goals which met expectation
15) Koscielny ............... .. 2 goals out of 02 goals which met expectation
16) Iwobi....................... .. 2 goals out of 05 goals expectation
17) Xhaka .................... .. 2 goals out of 05 goals expectation
18) Wilshere................. .. 2 goals out of 05 goals expectation
19) Aubameyang ............ 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
20) Holding................ …. 1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 1 goals out of 01 goals which met expectation
22) Debuchy................ …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation

23) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 0 goals out of 10 goals expectation
24) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 00 goals expectation
25) Chambers............... .. 0 goals out of 01 goal expectation
26) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 02 goals expectation
27) Joe Willock ............. .. 0 goals out of 00 goals expectation
28) Coquelin................. .. 0 goals out of 01 goals expectation
29) Akpom.................... .. 0 goals out of 00 goal expectation
30) Cazorla................... .. 0 goals out of 01 goals expectation

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