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Can we score 130-goals in 2019/20 season?
Discussion started by Merlion96 , 09 August, 2019 08:10
Can we score 130-goals in 2019/20 season?
Merlion96 09 August, 2019 08:10
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance …
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …

August 11, 2019 -- Round #1, Match #1
Newcastle vs Arsenal
[]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Nicholas Pepe, Martinelli, Saka and John-Jules.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 00.00% out of 65% expectation ….. 0 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 00.00% out of 25% expectation ….. 0 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 00.00% out of 07% expectation ….. 0 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"................... 00.00% out of 03% expectation ….. 0 out of 04 goals expectation.

Profligate STRIKERS are the primary reason why we flopped last season. Let’s hope Pepe will transform the Strikeforce into a deadly predatory trio with both Ozil and Ceballos creating plenty of chances.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 Europa Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League games.

xxx scored the first league goal of the season.

xxx is the 1st goal scorer.
xxx is the 2nd goal scorer.
xxx is the 3rd goal scorer.
xxx is the 4th goal scorer.
xxx is the 5th goal scorer.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nicholas Pepe
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Dani Ceballos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe WIllock

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Gabriel Martinelli
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Calum Chambers
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Carl Jenkinson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Bakayo Saka
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Zech Medley
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Tyree John-Jules
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Robbie Burton
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah out on-loan

Goal scorers.

01) Aubameyang .......... 0 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 0 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Pepe ........................ .. 0 goals out of 25 goals expectation
04) Martinelli ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
05) Saka ........................ ... 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
06) John-Jules............….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation

07) Ozil ........................ …. 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 0 goals out of 6 goals expectation
09) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... …. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
11) Guendouzi ......... ... 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
12) Deballos ................ .. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
13) Smith-Rowe .........…..0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
14) Joe Willock ............... 0 goals out of 3 goals w expectation
15) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Burton ................ …. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation

18) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 0 goals out of 4 goals expectation

19) Luiz ........................ …. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
20) Monreal................ …. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
24) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
25) Chambers ............... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
26) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
27) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
28) Mustafi.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
29) Medley ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation



Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Everton
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Manchester United


Table A will be a good guide to the Top-4 race amongst the Top-7 teams.
Most interesting to observe how dominant Abu Dhabi City and Liverpool will be in the title race.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 18
2008/09 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 2 … 16 … 18 …. -2 … … 14
2009/10 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 11 … 17 …. -6 … … 10
2010/11 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 3 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 13
2011/12 ….. 4 ….. 1 … 5 … 17 … 21 …. -4 … … 13
2012/13 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 16 …. -1 … ….. 9
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12
2019/20 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0


We should be looking forward to improve on last season 3W 3D 4L results.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Everton


Arsenal was unable to seal Top-4 position is due to their horrendous results against Bottom-13.
We should be looking to get more than 60 points from Bottom-13 teams.

Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2013/14 … 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66
2014/15 … 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60
2015/16 … 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54
2016/17 … 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63
2017/18 … 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51
2018/19 … 17 ….. 4 … 5 … 55 … 31 … 14 … … 55
2019/20 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0


Unai Emery team leaks more goals than the previous 5 seasons against Bottom-13 teams.
Arsenal is out of Top-4 race.
It is damning that Unai Emery team scoring record is worse than 2017/18 team, and leaked more goals that Arsene Wenger teams.


Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd ….. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … … 83 points – Arsenal
2008/09 ….. 4th ….. 20 … 12 ….. 6 … 68 … 37 … 31 … … 72 points – Arsenal
2009/10 ….. 3rd ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 83 … 41 … 42 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2010/11 ….. 4th ….. 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 72 … 43 … 29 … … 68 points – Arsenal
2011/12 ….. 3rd ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 74 … 49 … 25 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2012/13 ….. 4th ….. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 72 … 37 … 35 … … 73 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 5th ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 73 … 51 … 22 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2019/20 ….. 5th ……. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 points – Arsenal


My expectation for 2019/20 season is as follows:
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2019/20 ….. 4 ….. 4 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 16 points against Top-10 teams
2019/20 … 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 points against Bottom-13 teams

2019/20 … 25 ….. 7 … 4 … 74 … 29 … 45 … … 82 points Arsenal optimistic prediction
2019/20 … 24 ….. 7 … 7 … 73 … 41 … 32 … … 79 points Arsenal expectation
2019/20 … 21 ….. 8 … 9 … 73 … 51 … 22 … … 71 points Arsenal pessmistic prediction

We will have a scintillating season if we can collect 70 out of 72 points against Bottom-13 teams.
The target is still to remain unbeaten at Emirates and to win all 13 games against Bottom-13 teams at Emirates.



'The more things change, the more they remain the same' Alphonse Karr.

Re: Can we score 130-goals in 2019/20 season?
Willy 11 August, 2019 00:50
Great work as ever Merl but how can you say we flopped because of profligate strikers? We had a terrible defence and a porous, plodding midfield. Strikers were often the only functioning component!

Re: Can we score 130-goals in 2019/20 season?
Merlion96 11 August, 2019 02:55
That penalty miss against Tiny Totts was painful and still hurt.

If Aubamyang and Lacazette and Iwobi and Mkhitaryan had put away just ONE of those numerous clear chances cleared, it was he difference between 4th and 5th spot.


Yes, we have a porous defence, but the philosophy was then "if you scored 4 goals against us, we will score 5 goals to beat you."



'The more things change, the more they remain the same' Alphonse Karr.

Re: Can we score 130-goals in 2019/20 season?
Merlion96 12 August, 2019 04:02
Aug to Dec 2019 League Performance … W
Jan to May 2020 League Performance …

August 11, 2019 -- Round #1, Match #1
Newcastle 0-1 Arsenal
[Aubameyang]

August 17, 2019 -- Round #2, Match #2
Arsenal vs Burnley
[]

August 24, 2019 -- Round #3, Match #3
Liverpool vs Arsenal
[]

August 31, 2019 -- Round #4, Match #4
Arsenal vs Tiny Totts
[]

The expectation for 130-goal 2019/20 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Nicholas Pepe, Martinelli, Saka and John-Jules.

The new story is that we are too predictable in our approach play and creating less chances. Let’s hope Pepe will transform the Lacazette-Aubameyang Strikeforce into a deadly predatory trio with both Ozil and Ceballos creating plenty of chances.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

Aubameyang scored the first league goal of the season.
Goal scorers.

01) Aubameyang .......... 1 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 0 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Pepe ........................ .. 0 goals out of 25 goals expectation
04) Martinelli ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
05) Saka ........................ ... 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
06) John-Jules............…..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation

07) Ozil ........................ …. 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 0 goals out of 6 goals expectation
09) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... …. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
11) Guendouzi ......... ... 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
12) Deballos ................ .. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
13) Smith-Rowe .........…..0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
14) Joe Willock ............... 0 goals out of 3 goals w expectation
15) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Burton ................ …. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation

18) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 0 goals out of 4 goals expectation

19) Luiz ........................ …. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
20) Monreal................ …. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
24) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
25) Chambers ............... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
26) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
27) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
28) Mustafi.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
29) Medley ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation

Table A – “Traditional Top-6 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 0 ….. 4 … ….. 3 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 4 …. -4 … ….. 0 … Chelski


Table A will be a good guide to the Top-4 race amongst the Top-6 teams.
Early season yet, but ManU poses a serious threat in Top-4 race.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12
2019/20 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0


We should be looking forward to improve on last season 3W 3D 4L results.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-6 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 5 ….. 0 ….. 5 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 1 ….. 3 … ….. 3 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Manchester United


Unai Emery team leaks more goals than the previous 5 seasons against Bottom-13 teams.
Arsenal is out of Top-4 race.
It is damning that Unai Emery team scoring record is worse than 2017/18 team, and leaked more goals that Arsene Wenger teams.


Arsenal was unable to seal Top-4 position is due to their horrendous results against Bottom-13.
We should be looking to get more than 60 points from Bottom-13 teams.
Home form is vital and we should remain unbeaten and score in all of the 38 league games we played.
Remember that painful loss to Crystal Palace at home that cost us 4th spot?

Table C – Comparison of the Top-6 team HOME FORM:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 0 ….. 4 … ….. 3 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 1 ….. 3 … ….. 3 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Arsenal

Table D – Comparison of the Top-6 team AWAY FORM:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 5 ….. 0 ….. 5 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 4 …. -4 … ….. 0 … Chelski

Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 5th ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 73 … 51 … 22 … … 70 points – Arsenal

2019/20 ….. 5th ……. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 1 … ….. 3 points – Arsenal


My expectation for 2019/20 season is as follows:
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2019/20 ….. 4 ….. 4 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 16 points against Top-10 teams
2019/20 … 21 ….. 5 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 68 points against Bottom-13 teams

2019/20 … 25 ….. 9 … 4 … 74 … 29 … 45 … … 84 points Arsenal optimistic prediction
2019/20 … 24 ….. 7 … 7 … 73 … 41 … 32 … … 79 points Arsenal expectation
2019/20 … 21 ….. 8 … 9 … 73 … 51 … 22 … … 71 points Arsenal pessmistic prediction


We will have a scintillating season if we can collect 70 out of 78 points against Bottom-13 teams.
The target is still to remain unbeaten at Emirates and to win all 13 games against Bottom-13 teams at Emirates.




'The more things change, the more they remain the same' Alphonse Karr.


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