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130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
28 February, 2019 22:34
Race for Top-4 for last 10 games:
Starting at Round #28, using Arsenal results as the datum with zeroise results to track the fight for Top-4 amongst Tiny Totts, Arsenal, Chelski and ManU.
….. W … D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 …. -5 ….. 2 …. -5 …. -9 ….. 4 … ….. 4 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
…. -1 ….. 2 …. -1 …. -5 …. -2 …. -3 … …. -1 … Manchester United
…. -1 ….. 0 ….. 0 …-13 …. -9 …. -4 … …. -3 … Chelski


Round #28 – League Table:
….. W … D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 6 ….. 1 … 64 … 15 … 49 … … 69 … Liverpool
… 22 ….. 2 ….. 4 … 75 … 20 … 55 … … 68 … Abu Dhabi City
… 20 ….. 0 ….. 8 … 55 … 29 … 26 … … 60 … Tiny Totts
… 17 ….. 5 ….. 6 … 60 … 38 … 22 … … 56 … Arsenal
… 16 ….. 7 ….. 5 … 55 … 36 … 19 … … 55 … Manchester United
… 16 ….. 5 ….. 6 … 47 … 29 … 18 … … 53 … Chelski

Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DDW WDWLWDL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance … WLWW LWWW

February 2, 2019 -- Round #25, Match #36
Man City 3-1 Arsenal [Koscielny]

February 9, 2019 -- Round #26, Match #37
Huddersfield 1-2 Arsenal [Iwobi, Lacazette]

February 14, 2019 -- Round #26, Match #38
BATE 1-0 Arsenal []

February 21, 2019 -- Round #26, Match #39
Arsenal 3-0 BATE [o.g., Mustafi, Sokratis]

February 23, 2019 -- Round #27, Match #40
Arsenal 2-0 Southampton
[Lacazette, Mkhitaryan]

February 26, 2019 -- Round #28, Match #41
Arsenal 5-1 Bournemouth
[Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Koscielny, Aubameyang, Lacazette]


The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.00% out of 65% expectation … 42 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 32.14% out of 25% expectation … 27 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 11.91% out of 07% expectation …. 10 out of 9 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.95% out of 03% expectation …. 5 out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation.

STRIKERS are profligate with numerous clear cut chances created.
Playmaker in Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Kolasinac and other attacking midfielders are creating chances regularly now.
Both DEFEND and Owen Goal had met or exceeded expectation.


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+8) Europa Cup + 3 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 57 games.

We are out of Carabao Cup and FA Cup, look more and more like this can be one of our shortest season with 53 to 57 games played if we do not reach Europa Cup semi-final.

….. 4 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 2 FA Cup Round #3 & #4.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League Cup games.
… 15 goals scored = 1.88 goals per game after playing 8 Europa Cup games.
… 60 goals scored = 2.14 goals per game after playing 28 League games.
… 84 goals scored = 2.05 goals per game after playing 41 total games; or 116 goals after playing 57 games.


Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Koscielny is latest 19th goal scorer.

We have 19 different goal scorers for our first 33 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 06 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 09 ... 03 ... 00 - 01 -- 02 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 10 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 13 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 14 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 17 ... 03 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 19 ... 02 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 24 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 27 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 41 ... 14 ... 12 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 60 ... 19 ... 16 - 02 -- 01 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 63 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 68 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 73 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 74 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 78 ... 04 ... 03 - 00 -- 01 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 84 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang .......... 19 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................. 14 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
04) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 5 goals out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation
05) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
06) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
07) Iwobi....................... .. 4 goals out of 10 goals expectation
08) Smith-Rowe .........…..3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
09) Ramsey..................... 3 goals out of 8 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... .. 3 goals out of 5 goals expectation
14) Koscielny ............... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Mustafi.................... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Joe Willock ............... 3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Torreira................... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Sokratis ............. …… 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Lichsteiner ............. …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
17) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
18) Maitland-Niles ......... ..1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
19) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation

20) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation

Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 1 ..... 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ---- 0 --- Ramsey (won by Ramsey against Vorskla (A))
….. 2 ..... 1 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Ventonghen handball against Tiny Totts (H))
….. 3 ..... 2 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Manga fouled Kolasinac against Cardiff (A))


Top-7 Table is coincidentally an exact mirror of Top-6 League position.

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 1 … 1 … 22 ….. 6 … 16 … … 25 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 4 ….. 4 … 1 … 14 ….. 7 ….. 7 … … 16 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 3 … 3 … 11 … 16 …. -5 … … 12 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 2 … 4 … 15 … 18 …. -3 … … 11 … Arsenal
….. 3 ….. 0 … 5 … 15 … 13 ….. 2 … ….. 9 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 3 … 3 ….. 9 … 14 …. -5 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 1 … 6 ….. 4 … 16 …-12 … ….. 1 … Everton

Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 18
2008/09 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 2 … 16 … 18 …. -2 … … 14
2009/10 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 11 … 17 …. -6 … … 10
2010/11 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 3 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 13
2011/12 ….. 4 ….. 1 … 5 … 17 … 21 …. -4 … … 13
2012/13 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 16 …. -1 … ….. 9
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 2 ….. 2 … 4 … 13 … 18 …. -5 … ….. 8

Arsenal have had finally won games against a Top-5 title contender – Tiny Totts and Chelski.
Apparently Emery had done no better than Arsene Wenger against Top-6 for the past decade.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 17 ….. 2 … 0 … 50 ….. 8 … 42 … … 53 … Liverpool
… 17 ….. 0 … 3 … 40 … 16 … 24 … … 51 … Tiny Totts
… 14 ….. 4 … 2 … 46 … 22 … 24 … … 46 … Manchester United
… 14 ….. 3 … 2 … 45 … 20 … 25 … … 45 … Arsenal
… 14 ….. 1 … 3 … 53 … 14 … 39 … … 43 … Abu Dhabi City
… 13 ….. 2 … 3 … 35 … 12 … 23 … … 41 … Chelski
… 10 ….. 5 … 6 … 35 … 23 … 12 … … 35 … Everton

Table A and Table B indicate that it is Chelski and ManU that will fight for the last spot in Top-4.
Arsenal is fast slipping out of Top-4 contention; like Arsene Wenger teams after January every season.

Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
An indicator that Liverpool need to win all remaining 8 games against Bottom-13 teams to stand a chance of winning the title.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
… 14 ….. 3 … 2 … 45 … 20 … 25 … … 45 … 2018/19


Arsenal will not make it to Top-4 if they do not win remaining 7 games against Bottom-3.
Arsenal need to collect 15 out of remaining 21 points to better 2014/15 season but remain inferior to 66 points from 2013/14.


Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd ….. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … … 83 points – Arsenal
2008/09 ….. 4th ….. 20 … 12 ….. 6 … 68 … 37 … 31 … … 72 points – Arsenal
2009/10 ….. 3rd ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 83 … 41 … 42 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2010/11 ….. 4th ….. 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 72 … 43 … 29 … … 68 points – Arsenal
2011/12 ….. 3rd ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 74 … 49 … 25 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2012/13 ….. 4th ….. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 72 … 37 … 35 … … 73 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 4th ….. 17 ….. 5 ….. 6 … 60 … 38 … 22 … … 56 points – Arsenal

We are still leaking goals.
Can we score more than 77 league goals this season with new 4-2-3-1 Diamond formation?
But if we can collect 27 out of remaining 30 points available, it will be our best result in last 10 seasons.


We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
We are struggling during 2nd quarter due to “Horrendous Injury List” during the wintry months – the bane of Arsene Wenger latter half regime.
Let’s hope that win against Huddersfield is the start of another unbeaten run.
We had a horrible start for 3rd Quarter in 2019 and is gathering a head of steam going into 4th Quarter.
We do not start a chance to be Top-4 unless we can beat all Bottom-13 teams and remain unbeaten in remaining 10 games.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
3rd Quarter results doomed Huddersfield as a confirmed relegation candidate.
Fulham is closed behind as relegation candidate too.
Tiny Totts are going through their perennial bottling act but worrying, ManU and Chelski are hitting form going into 4th Quarter.

3rd Quarter 2018/19:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 0 … 1 … 24 ….. 5 … 19 … … 24 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 7 ….. 2 … 0 … 18 ….. 5 … 13 … … 23 … Manchester United
….. 5 ….. 3 … 1 … 21 ….. 8 … 13 … … 18 … Liverpool
….. 6 ….. 0 … 3 … 19 … 13 ….. 6 … … 18 … Arsenal
….. 5 ….. 3 … 1 … 14 ….. 9 ….. 5 … … 18 … Burnley
….. 5 ….. 0 … 4 … 13 … 11 ….. 2 … … 15 … Tiny Totts

….. 4 ….. 2 … 3 … 12 ….. 8 ….. 4 … … 14 … Newcastle
….. 4 ….. 2 … 3 … 15 … 13 ….. 2 … … 14 … Wolves
….. 3 ….. 4 … 2 … 13 … 13 ….. 0 … … 13 … Watford
….. 4 ….. 1 … 3 … 10 … 13 …. -3 … … 13 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 3 … 3 … 10 … 11 …. -1 … … 12 … Southampton

….. 3 ….. 2 … 4 … 15 … 13 ….. 2 … … 11 … Crystal Palace
….. 3 ….. 1 … 5 ….. 7 … 17 …-10 … … 10 … Cardiff City
….. 3 ….. 0 … 6 ….. 8 … 10 …. -2 … ….. 9 … Everton
….. 2 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 8 … 13 …. -5 … ….. 9 … West Ham United
….. 2 ….. 2 … 5 … 12 … 20 …. -8 … ….. 8 … Bournemouth

….. 2 ….. 1 … 6 … 10 … 17 …. -7 … ….. 7 … Leicester City
….. 2 ….. 0 … 7 ….. 9 … 20 …-11 … ….. 6 … Fulham
….. 1 ….. 2 … 5 ….. 9 … 15 …. -6 … ….. 5 … Brighton
….. 1 ….. 1 … 7 ….. 3 … 16 …-13 … ….. 4 … Huddersfield



'I like the total intensification, where there are crashes and bangs everywhere, pure adrenaline and no one being able to breathe' Jurgen Klopp.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
05 March, 2019 05:11
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DDW WDWLWDL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance … WLWW LWWW D

March 2, 2019 -- Round #29, Match #42
Tiny Totts 1-1 Arsenal
[Ramsey]

March 7, 2019 -- Round #29, Match #43
Rennes vs Arsenal
[]

March 10, 2019 -- Round #30, Match #44
Arsenal vs ManU
[]

March 14, 2019 -- Round #30, Match #45
Arsenal vs Rennes
[]

March 30, 2019 -- Round #31, Match #46
Arsenal vs Newcastle
[]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 49.41% out of 65% expectation … 42 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 32.94% out of 25% expectation … 28 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 11.76% out of 07% expectation …. 10 out of 9 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.89% out of 03% expectation …. 5 out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation.

STRIKERS are profligate with numerous clear cut chances created.
Playmaker in Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Kolasinac and other attacking midfielders are creating chances regularly now.
Both DEFEND and Owen Goal had met or exceeded expectation.


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+8) Europa Cup + 3 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 57 games.

We are out of Carabao Cup and FA Cup, look more and more like this can be one of our shortest season with 53 to 57 games played if we do not reach Europa Cup semi-final.

….. 4 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 2 FA Cup Round #3 & #4.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League Cup games.
… 15 goals scored = 1.88 goals per game after playing 8 Europa Cup games.
… 61 goals scored = 2.10 goals per game after playing 29 League games.
… 85 goals scored = 2.02 goals per game after playing 42 total games; or 115 goals after playing 57 games.


Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Koscielny is latest 19th goal scorer.

We have 19 different goal scorers for our first 33 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 06 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 09 ... 03 ... 00 - 01 -- 02 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 10 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 14 ... 04 ... 03 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 15 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 18 ... 03 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 20 ... 02 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 25 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 28 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 42 ... 14 ... 12 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 61 ... 19 ... 16 - 02 -- 01 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 64 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 69 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 74 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 75 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 79 ... 04 ... 03 - 00 -- 01 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 85 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang .......... 19 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................. 14 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
04) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 5 goals out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation
05) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
06) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
07) Iwobi....................... .. 4 goals out of 10 goals expectation
08) Ramsey..................... 4 goals out of 8 goals expectation
09) Xhaka .................... .. 3 goals out of 5 goals expectation
10) Smith-Rowe .........…..3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Koscielny ............... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Mustafi.................... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Joe Willock ............... 3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Torreira................... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Sokratis ............. …… 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Lichsteiner ............. …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
17) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
18) Maitland-Niles ......... ..1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
19) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation

20) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation

Penalties –– 4 no. awarded –– 3 no. converted : x – 1 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 1 ..... 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ---- 0 --- Ramsey (won by Ramsey against Vorskla (A))
….. 2 ..... 2 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Ventonghen handball against Tiny Totts (H))
….. 3 ..... 3 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Manga fouled Kolasinac against Cardiff (A))
….. 4 ..... 3 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 1 --- Aubameyang (Sanchez fouled Aubameyang against Tiny Totts (A))


Top-7 Table is coincidentally an exact mirror of Top-6 League position.

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 1 … 1 … 22 ….. 6 … 16 … … 25 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 4 ….. 5 … 1 … 14 ….. 7 ….. 7 … … 17 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 3 … 3 … 11 … 16 …. -5 … … 12 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12 … Arsenal
….. 3 ….. 1 … 5 … 16 … 14 ….. 2 … … 10 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 3 … 3 ….. 9 … 14 …. -5 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 2 … 6 ….. 4 … 16 …-12 … ….. 2 … Everton

Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 18
2008/09 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 2 … 16 … 18 …. -2 … … 14
2009/10 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 11 … 17 …. -6 … … 10
2010/11 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 3 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 13
2011/12 ….. 4 ….. 1 … 5 … 17 … 21 …. -4 … … 13
2012/13 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 16 …. -1 … ….. 9
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 4 … 14 … 19 …. -5 … ….. 9

Arsenal have had finally won games against a Top-5 title contender – Tiny Totts and Chelski.
Apparently Emery had done no better than Arsene Wenger against Top-6 for the past decade.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 17 ….. 2 … 0 … 50 ….. 8 … 42 … … 53 … Liverpool
… 17 ….. 0 … 3 … 40 … 16 … 24 … … 51 … Tiny Totts
… 15 ….. 4 … 2 … 49 … 24 … 25 … … 49 … Manchester United
… 15 ….. 1 … 3 … 54 … 14 … 40 … … 46 … Abu Dhabi City
… 14 ….. 3 … 2 … 45 … 20 … 25 … … 45 … Arsenal
… 14 ….. 2 … 3 … 37 … 13 … 24 … … 44 … Chelski
… 10 ….. 5 … 6 … 35 … 23 … 12 … … 35 … Everton

Table A and Table B indicate that it is Tiny Totts, Arsenal, Chelski and ManU that will fight for the last 2 spots in Top-4.

Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
An indicator that Liverpool need to win all remaining games against Bottom-13 teams to stand a chance of winning the title.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
… 14 ….. 3 … 2 … 45 … 20 … 25 … … 45 … 2018/19


Arsenal will not make it to Top-4 if they do not win remaining 7 games against Bottom-3.
Arsenal need to collect 15 out of remaining 21 points to better 2014/15 season but remain inferior to 66 points from 2013/14.


Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd ….. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … … 83 points – Arsenal
2008/09 ….. 4th ….. 20 … 12 ….. 6 … 68 … 37 … 31 … … 72 points – Arsenal
2009/10 ….. 3rd ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 83 … 41 … 42 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2010/11 ….. 4th ….. 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 72 … 43 … 29 … … 68 points – Arsenal
2011/12 ….. 3rd ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 74 … 49 … 25 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2012/13 ….. 4th ….. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 72 … 37 … 35 … … 73 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 4th ….. 17 ….. 6 ….. 6 … 61 … 39 … 22 … … 57 points – Arsenal

We are still leaking goals.
Can we score more than 77 league goals this season with new 4-2-3-1 Diamond formation?
But if we can collect 27 out of remaining 27 points available, it will be our best result in last 10 seasons.


…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
We are struggling during 2nd quarter due to “Horrendous Injury List” during the wintry months – the bane of Arsene Wenger latter half regime.
We had a decent 3rd Quarter in 2019 and is gathering a head of steam going into 4th Quarter.

Let’s hope Tiny Totts and Chelski continues to be inconsistent and suffer a slump during 4th Quarter.
3rd Quarter results doomed Huddersfield and Fulham as confirmed relegation candidate.
Tiny Totts, Arsenal, ManU and Chelski are going into 4th Quarter fighting for last 2 slots in Top-4.

3rd Quarter 2018/19:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 9 ….. 0 … 1 … 25 ….. 5 … 20 … … 27 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 8 ….. 2 … 0 … 21 ….. 7 … 14 … … 26 … Manchester United
….. 5 ….. 4 … 1 … 21 ….. 8 … 13 … … 19 … Liverpool
….. 6 ….. 1 … 3 … 20 … 14 ….. 6 … … 19 … Arsenal
….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 15 … 12 ….. 3 … … 18 … Burnley

….. 5 ….. 2 … 3 … 17 … 13 ….. 4 … … 17 … Wolves
….. 5 ….. 1 … 4 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 16 … Tiny Totts
….. 4 ….. 4 … 2 … 15 … 14 ….. 1 … … 16 … Watford
….. 5 ….. 1 … 3 … 12 … 14 …. -2 … … 16 … Chelski
….. 4 ….. 2 … 4 … 18 … 14 ….. 4 … … 14 … Crystal Palace

….. 4 ….. 2 … 4 … 12 … 10 ….. 2 … … 14 … Newcastle
….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 12 … 14 …. -2 … … 12 … Southampton
….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 10 … 13 …. -3 … … 12 … West Ham United
….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 ….. 8 … 10 …. -2 … … 10 … Everton
….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 10 … Cardiff City

….. 2 ….. 2 … 5 … 10 … 15 …. -5 … ….. 8 … Brighton
….. 2 ….. 2 … 6 … 12 … 21 …. -9 … ….. 8 … Bournemouth
….. 2 ….. 1 … 7 … 11 … 19 …. -8 … ….. 7 … Leicester City
….. 2 ….. 0 … 8 … 10 … 22 …-12 … ….. 6 … Fulham
….. 1 ….. 1 … 8 ….. 3 … 17 …-14 … ….. 4 … Huddersfield



'I like the total intensification, where there are crashes and bangs everywhere, pure adrenaline and no one being able to breathe' Jurgen Klopp.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
11 March, 2019 05:46
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DDW WDWLWDL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance … WLWW LWWW DW

March 2, 2019 -- Round #29, Match #42
Tiny Totts 1-1 Arsenal
[Ramsey]

March 7, 2019 -- Round #29, Match #43
Rennes 3-1 Arsenal
[Iwobi]

March 10, 2019 -- Round #30, Match #44
Arsenal 2-0 ManU
[Xhaka, Aubameyang (p)]

March 14, 2019 -- Round #30, Match #45
Arsenal vs Rennes
[]

March 30, 2019 -- Round #31, Match #46
Arsenal vs Newcastle
[]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.00% out of 65% expectation … 44 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 32.95% out of 25% expectation … 29 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 11.36% out of 07% expectation …. 10 out of 9 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.69% out of 03% expectation …. 5 out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation.

STRIKERS are profligate with numerous clear cut chances created.
Playmaker in Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Kolasinac and other attacking midfielders are creating chances regularly now.
Both DEFEND and Owen Goal had met or exceeded expectation.


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+8) Europa Cup + 3 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 57 games.

We are out of Carabao Cup and FA Cup, look more and more like this can be one of our shortest season with 53 to 57 games played if we do not reach Europa Cup semi-final.

….. 4 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 2 FA Cup Round #3 & #4.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League Cup games.
… 16 goals scored = 1.78 goals per game after playing 9 Europa Cup games.
… 63 goals scored = 2.10 goals per game after playing 30 League games.
… 88 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 43 total games; or 114 goals after playing 57 games.


Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Koscielny is latest 19th goal scorer.

We have 19 different goal scorers for our first 33 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 06 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 09 ... 03 ... 00 - 01 -- 02 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 10 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 14 ... 04 ... 03 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 15 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 18 ... 03 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 20 ... 02 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 25 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 29 ... 04 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 43 ... 14 ... 12 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 63 ... 20 ... 17 - 02 -- 01 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 66 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 71 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 76 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 77 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 82 ... 05 ... 03 - 01 -- 01 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 88 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang .......... 20 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................. 14 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
04) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 5 goals out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation
05) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
06) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
07) Iwobi....................... .. 5 goals out of 10 goals expectation
08) Ramsey..................... 4 goals out of 8 goals expectation
09) Xhaka .................... .. 4 goals out of 5 goals expectation
10) Smith-Rowe .........…..3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Koscielny ............... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Mustafi.................... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Joe Willock ............... 3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Torreira................... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Sokratis ............. …… 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Lichsteiner ............. …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
17) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
18) Maitland-Niles ......... ..1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
19) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation

20) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation

Penalties –– 5 no. awarded –– 4 no. converted : x – 1 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 1 ..... 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ---- 0 --- Ramsey (won by Ramsey against Vorskla (A))
….. 2 ..... 2 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Ventonghen handball against Tiny Totts (H))
….. 3 ..... 3 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Manga fouled Kolasinac against Cardiff (A))
….. 4 ..... 3 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- x --- Aubameyang (Sanchez fouled Aubameyang against Tiny Totts (A))
….. 5 ..... 4 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Fred pushed Lacazette against ManU (H))




Top-7 Table is coincidentally an exact mirror of Top-6 League position.

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 1 … 1 … 22 ….. 6 … 16 … … 25 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 4 ….. 5 … 1 … 14 ….. 7 ….. 7 … … 17 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 3 … 3 … 11 … 16 …. -5 … … 12 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12 … Arsenal
….. 3 ….. 1 … 5 … 16 … 14 ….. 2 … … 10 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 3 … 3 ….. 9 … 14 …. -5 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 2 … 6 ….. 4 … 16 …-12 … ….. 2 … Everton

Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 18
2008/09 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 2 … 16 … 18 …. -2 … … 14
2009/10 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 11 … 17 …. -6 … … 10
2010/11 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 3 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 13
2011/12 ….. 4 ….. 1 … 5 … 17 … 21 …. -4 … … 13
2012/13 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 16 …. -1 … ….. 9
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12

Arsenal have had finally won games against a Top-5 title contender – Tiny Totts, Chelski and ManU.
Certainly, Emery had better than Arsene Wenger against Top-6 since 2011/12 season.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 18 ….. 2 … 0 … 54 … 10 … 44 … … 56 … Liverpool
… 17 ….. 0 … 4 … 41 … 18 … 23 … … 51 … Tiny Totts
… 16 ….. 1 … 3 … 57 … 15 … 42 … … 49 … Abu Dhabi City
… 15 ….. 4 … 2 … 49 … 24 … 25 … … 49 … Manchester United
… 14 ….. 3 … 2 … 45 … 20 … 25 … … 45 … Arsenal
… 14 ….. 3 … 3 … 38 … 14 … 24 … … 45 … Chelski
… 10 ….. 5 … 7 … 37 … 26 … 11 … … 35 … Everton

Table A and Table B indicate that it is Tiny Totts, Arsenal, Chelski and ManU that will fight for the last 2 spots in Top-4.

Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
An indicator that Liverpool need to win all remaining games against Bottom-13 teams to stand a chance of winning the title.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
… 14 ….. 3 … 2 … 45 … 20 … 25 … … 45 … 2018/19


Arsenal will finish Top-4 if we win remaining 8 games against Bottom-13 teams.
Arsenal need to collect 20 out of remaining 24 points to better 2013/14 season but remain inferior to 83 points from 2007/08.


Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd ….. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … … 83 points – Arsenal
2008/09 ….. 4th ….. 20 … 12 ….. 6 … 68 … 37 … 31 … … 72 points – Arsenal
2009/10 ….. 3rd ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 83 … 41 … 42 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2010/11 ….. 4th ….. 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 72 … 43 … 29 … … 68 points – Arsenal
2011/12 ….. 3rd ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 74 … 49 … 25 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2012/13 ….. 4th ….. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 72 … 37 … 35 … … 73 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 4th ….. 18 ….. 6 ….. 6 … 63 … 39 … 24 … … 60 points – Arsenal

We are starting to gel with defenders throwing their body in harm’s way in the box.
Can we score more than 77 league goals this season with new 3-4-1-2 Midfield Diamond formation?
But if we can collect 24 out of remaining 24 points available, it will be our best result since 2003/04 season.


…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
We are struggling during 2nd quarter due to “Horrendous Injury List” during the wintry months – the bane of Arsene Wenger latter half regime.
We had a decent 3rd Quarter in 2019 and is now gathering a head of steam going into 4th Quarter.

Tiny Totts is tottering and Chelski continues to be inconsistent and both aresuffering a slump during 4th Quarter.
3rd Quarter results doomed Huddersfield and Fulham as confirmed relegation candidate.
Tiny Totts, Arsenal, ManU and Chelski are going into 4th Quarter fighting for last 2 slots in Top-4.

4th Quarter 2018/19:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Leicester City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Arsenal
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Bournemouth

….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Cardiff City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Newcastle
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 1 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Southampton
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 1 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Brighton
….. 0 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 0 … ….. 1 … Wolves

….. 0 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 0 … ….. 1 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 1 ….. 2 …. -1 … ….. 0 … Crystal Palace
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 3 …. -1 … ….. 0 … Everton
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 1 ….. 2 …. -1 … ….. 0 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 2 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Manchester United

….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 2 …. -2 … ….. 0 … West Ham United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 1 ….. 3 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Watford
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 1 ….. 3 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Fulham
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 2 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Huddersfield
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 4 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Burnley



'I like the total intensification, where there are crashes and bangs everywhere, pure adrenaline and no one being able to breathe' Jurgen Klopp.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Gooner Sod (IP Logged)
11 March, 2019 23:01
Thanks for the update. Things are finally looking up.

One course for one of our best seasons in last 10 years even with our massive issues with defense and injuries all season.

We must give big credit to Unai if he pulls it off.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
15 March, 2019 05:00
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DDW WDWLWDL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance … WLWW LWWW DW

March 2, 2019 -- Round #29, Match #42
Tiny Totts 1-1 Arsenal
[Ramsey]

March 7, 2019 -- Round #29, Match #43
Rennes 3-1 Arsenal
[Iwobi]

March 10, 2019 -- Round #30, Match #44
Arsenal 2-0 ManU
[Xhaka, Aubameyang (p)]

March 14, 2019 -- Round #30, Match #45
Arsenal 3-0 Rennes
[Aubameyang, Maitland-Niles, Aubameyang]

March 30, 2019 -- Round #31, Match #46
Arsenal vs Newcastle
[]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.55% out of 65% expectation … 46 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 32.97% out of 25% expectation … 30 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.99% out of 07% expectation …. 10 out of 9 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.49% out of 03% expectation …. 5 out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation.

STRIKERS are profligate with numerous clear cut chances created.
Playmaker in Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Kolasinac and other attacking midfielders are creating chances regularly now.
Both DEFEND and Owen Goal had met or exceeded expectation.


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+8) Europa Cup + 3 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 57 games.

We are out of Carabao Cup and FA Cup, look more and more like this can be one of our shortest season with 53 to 57 games played if we do not reach Europa Cup semi-final.

….. 4 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 2 FA Cup Round #3 & #4.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League Cup games.
… 19 goals scored = 1.90 goals per game after playing 10 Europa Cup games.
… 63 goals scored = 2.10 goals per game after playing 30 League games.
… 91 goals scored = 2.02 goals per game after playing 44 total games; or 115 goals after playing 57 games.


Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Koscielny is latest 19th goal scorer.

We have 19 different goal scorers for our first 33 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 05 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 07 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 10 ... 03 ... 00 - 01 -- 02 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 11 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 15 ... 04 ... 03 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 16 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 19 ... 03 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 21 ... 02 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 26 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 30 ... 04 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 44 ... 14 ... 12 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 66 ... 22 ... 17 - 04 -- 01 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 69 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 74 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 79 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 80 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 85 ... 05 ... 03 - 01 -- 01 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 91 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang .......... 22 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................. 14 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
04) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 5 goals out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation
05) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
06) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
07) Iwobi....................... .. 5 goals out of 10 goals expectation
08) Ramsey..................... 4 goals out of 8 goals expectation
09) Xhaka .................... .. 4 goals out of 5 goals expectation
10) Smith-Rowe .........…..3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Koscielny ............... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Mustafi.................... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Joe Willock ............... 3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Torreira................... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Sokratis ............. …… 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Maitland-Niles ......... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
17) Lichsteiner ............. …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
19) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation

20) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation

Penalties –– 5 no. awarded –– 4 no. converted : x – 1 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 1 ..... 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ---- 0 --- Ramsey (won by Ramsey against Vorskla (A))
….. 2 ..... 2 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Ventonghen handball against Tiny Totts (H))
….. 3 ..... 3 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Manga fouled Kolasinac against Cardiff (A))
….. 4 ..... 3 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- x --- Aubameyang (Sanchez fouled Aubameyang against Tiny Totts (A))
….. 5 ..... 4 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Fred pushed Lacazette against ManU (H))



'I like the total intensification, where there are crashes and bangs everywhere, pure adrenaline and no one being able to breathe' Jurgen Klopp.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
02 April, 2019 06:14
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DDW WDWLWDL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance … WLWW LWWW DW W

March 14, 2019 -- Round #30, Match #45
Arsenal 3-0 Rennes [Aubameyang, Maitland-Niles, Aubameyang]

April 1, 2019 -- Round #31, Match #46
Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle
[Ramsey, lacazette]

April 7, 2019 -- Round #32, Match #47
Everton vs Arsenal
[]

April 11, 2019 -- Round #32, Match #48
Arsenal vs Napoli
[]


The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.54% out of 65% expectation … 47 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 33.33% out of 25% expectation … 31 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.75% out of 07% expectation …. 10 out of 9 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.38% out of 03% expectation …. 5 out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation.

STRIKERS are profligate with numerous clear cut chances created.
Playmaker in Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Kolasinac and other attacking midfielders are creating chances regularly now.
Both DEFEND and Owen Goal had exceeded expectation.


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+8) Europa Cup + 3 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 57 games.

We are out of Carabao Cup and FA Cup, look more and more like this can be one of our shortest season with 53 to 57 games played if we do not reach Europa Cup semi-final.

….. 4 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 2 FA Cup Round #3 & #4 games.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League Cup games.
… 19 goals scored = 1.90 goals per game after playing 10 Europa Cup games.
… 65 goals scored = 2.10 goals per game after playing 30 League games.
… 93 goals scored = 2.02 goals per game after playing 46 total games; or 115 goals after playing 57 games.


Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Koscielny is latest 19th goal scorer.

We have 19 different goal scorers for our first 33 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 05 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 07 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 10 ... 03 ... 00 - 01 -- 02 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 11 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 16 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 17 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 20 ... 03 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 22 ... 02 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 27 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 31 ... 04 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 46 ... 15 ... 13 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 68 ... 22 ... 17 - 04 -- 01 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 71 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 76 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 81 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 82 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 87 ... 05 ... 03 - 01 -- 01 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 93 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang .......... 22 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................. 15 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
04) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 5 goals out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation
05) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
06) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
07) Iwobi....................... .. 5 goals out of 10 goals expectation
08) Ramsey..................... 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
09) Xhaka .................... .. 4 goals out of 5 goals expectation
10) Smith-Rowe .........…..3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Koscielny ............... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Mustafi.................... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Joe Willock ............... 3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Torreira................... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Sokratis ............. …… 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Maitland-Niles ......... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
17) Lichsteiner ............. …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
19) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation

20) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation

Penalties –– 5 no. awarded –– 4 no. converted : x – 1 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 1 ..... 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ---- 0 --- Ramsey (won by Ramsey against Vorskla (A))
….. 2 ..... 2 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Ventonghen handball against Tiny Totts (H))
….. 3 ..... 3 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Manga fouled Kolasinac against Cardiff (A))
….. 4 ..... 3 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- x --- Aubameyang (Sanchez fouled Aubameyang against Tiny Totts (A))
….. 5 ..... 4 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Fred pushed Lacazette against ManU (H))




Top-7 Table is coincidentally an exact mirror of Top-6 League position.

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
31 March 2019 – Liverpool 2 1 Tiny Totts
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 1 … 1 … 22 ….. 6 … 16 … … 25 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 5 ….. 5 … 1 … 16 ….. 8 ….. 8 … … 20 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 11 … 18 …. -7 … … 12 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12 … Arsenal
….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 17 … 16 ….. 1 … … 10 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 3 … 3 ….. 9 … 14 …. -5 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 2 … 6 ….. 6 … 16 …-10 … ….. 5 … Everton

Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 18
2008/09 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 2 … 16 … 18 …. -2 … … 14
2009/10 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 11 … 17 …. -6 … … 10
2010/11 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 3 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 13
2011/12 ….. 4 ….. 1 … 5 … 17 … 21 …. -4 … … 13
2012/13 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 16 …. -1 … ….. 9
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12

Arsenal have had finally won games against a Top-5 title contender – Tiny Totts, Chelski and ManU.
Certainly, Emery had better than Arsene Wenger against Top-6 since 2011/12 season.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 19 ….. 2 … 0 … 56 … 10 … 46 … … 59 … Liverpool
… 17 ….. 1 … 3 … 59 … 15 … 44 … … 52 … Abu Dhabi City
… 17 ….. 4 … 2 … 51 … 24 … 27 … … 52 … Manchester United
… 17 ….. 0 … 4 … 41 … 18 … 23 … … 51 … Tiny Totts
… 15 ….. 3 … 2 … 47 … 20 … 27 … … 48 … Arsenal
… 15 ….. 3 … 3 … 40 … 15 … 25 … … 48 … Chelski
… 11 ….. 5 … 7 … 39 … 26 … 13 … … 38 … Everton

Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
An indicator that Arsenal will need to win all remaining games against Bottom-13 teams to seal Top-4 position.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
… 15 ….. 3 … 2 … 47 … 20 … 27 … … 48 … 2018/19


Arsenal will finish 3rd if we win remaining 7 games against Bottom-13 teams.
Arsenal need to collect 17 out of remaining 21 points to better 2013/14 season of 79 points.


Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd ….. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … … 83 points – Arsenal
2008/09 ….. 4th ….. 20 … 12 ….. 6 … 68 … 37 … 31 … … 72 points – Arsenal
2009/10 ….. 3rd ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 83 … 41 … 42 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2010/11 ….. 4th ….. 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 72 … 43 … 29 … … 68 points – Arsenal
2011/12 ….. 3rd ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 74 … 49 … 25 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2012/13 ….. 4th ….. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 72 … 37 … 35 … … 73 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 3rd ….. 19 ….. 6 ….. 6 … 65 … 39 … 26 … … 63 points – Arsenal

We are starting to gel with defenders throwing their body in harm’s way in the box.
Can we score more than 77 league goals this season with new 3-4-1-2 Midfield Diamond formation?
But if we can collect 21 out of remaining 21 points available, it will be our best result since 2003/04 season.


…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
We are struggling during 2nd quarter had a decent 3rd Quarter going into 2019.
We are now gathering a head of steam going into 4th Quarter and winning remaining 8 games is a possibility.

Tiny Totts is tottering and Chelski continues to be inconsistent and both are suffering a slump during 4th Quarter.
ManU is being found out and regaining Top-4 is in our hands to grab it.
3rd Quarter results doomed Huddersfield and Fulham as confirmed relegation candidate.
Tiny Totts, Arsenal, ManU and Chelski are going into 4th Quarter fighting for last 2 slots in Top-4.

4th Quarter 2018/19:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 7 ….. 2 ….. 5 … ….. 9 … Leicester City
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 8 ….. 4 ….. 4 … ….. 9 … Liverpool
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 5 ….. 1 ….. 4 … ….. 6 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 0 ….. 4 … ….. 6 … Arsenal
….. 2 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 6 ….. 3 ….. 3 … ….. 6 … Everton

….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Southampton
….. 1 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 4 ….. 0 … ….. 4 … Bournemouth
….. 1 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 … ….. 4 … Newcastle
….. 1 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 3 ….. 4 …. -1 … ….. 4 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Crystal Palace

….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 0 … ….. 3 … Brighton
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Burnley
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 3 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 7 …. -3 … ….. 3 … West Ham United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 1 … Cardiff City

….. 0 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 1 ….. 3 …. -2 … ….. 1 … Wolves
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 4 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Watford
….. 0 ….. 0 … 3 ….. 2 ….. 7 …. -5 … ….. 0 … Fulham
….. 0 ….. 0 … 3 ….. 3 ….. 8 …. -5 … ….. 0 … Huddersfield

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
Round #32 – League Table:
….. W … D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 24 ….. 7 ….. 1 … 72 … 19 … 53 … … 79 … Liverpool
… 25 ….. 2 ….. 4 … 81 … 21 … 60 … … 77 … Abu Dhabi City
… 19 ….. 6 ….. 6 … 65 … 39 … 26 … … 63 … Arsenal
… 20 ….. 1 … 10 … 58 … 34 … 24 … … 61 … Tiny Totts
… 18 ….. 7 ….. 6 … 60 … 41 … 19 … … 61 … Manchester United
… 18 ….. 6 ….. 7 … 52 … 34 … 18 … … 60 … Chelski

… 12 ….. 8 … 11 … 38 … 38 ….. 0 … … 44 … Wolves
… 13 ….. 5 … 14 … 42 … 43 …. -1 … … 44 … Leicester City
… 12 ….. 7 … 13 … 45 … 42 ….. 3 … … 43 … Everton
… 12 ….. 7 … 12 … 43 … 46 …. -3 … … 43 … Watford
… 12 ….. 6 … 14 … 41 … 48 …. -7 … … 42 … West Ham United

… 11 ….. 5 … 16 … 43 … 58 …-15 … … 38 … Bournemouth
… 10 ….. 6 … 15 … 38 … 41 …. -3 … … 36 … Crystal Palace
….. 9 ….. 8 … 15 … 31 … 42 …-11 … … 35 … Newcastle

….. 9 ….. 6 … 15 … 32 … 43 …-11 … … 33 … Brighton
….. 8 ….. 9 … 15 … 35 … 50 …-13 … … 33 … Southampton
….. 9 ….. 6 … 17 … 37 … 59 …-22 … … 33 … Burnley
….. 8 ….. 4 … 19 … 28 … 59 …-31 … … 28 … Cardiff
….. 4 ….. 5 … 23 … 29 … 72 …-43 … … 17 … Fulham
….. 3 ….. 5 … 24 … 18 … 59 …-41 … … 14 … Huddersfield



'I like the total intensification, where there are crashes and bangs everywhere, pure adrenaline and no one being able to breathe' Jurgen Klopp.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
12 April, 2019 06:18
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DDW WDWLWDL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance … WLWW LWWW DW WL

April 1, 2019 -- Round #31, Match #46
Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle [Ramsey, lacazette]

April 7, 2019 -- Round #32, Match #47
Everton 1-0 Arsenal
[]

April 11, 2019 -- Round #32, Match #48
Arsenal 2-0 Napoli
[Ramsey, o.g.]

April 15, 2019 -- Round #33, Match #49
Watford vs Arsenal
[]

April 18, 2019 -- Round #33, Match #50
Napoli vs Arsenal
[]

April 21, 2019 -- Round #34, Match #51
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
[]

April 24, 2019 -- Round #35, Match #52
Wolves vs Arsenal
[]

April 29, 2019 -- Round #36, Match #53
Leicester City vs Arsenal
[]

May 4, 2019 -- Round #37, Match #54
Arsenal vs Brighton
[]

May 12, 2019 -- Round #38, Match #55
Burnley vs Arsenal
[]


The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 49.47% out of 65% expectation … 47 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 33.68% out of 25% expectation … 32 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.53% out of 07% expectation …. 10 out of 9 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 6.32% out of 03% expectation …. 6 out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation.

Playmaker in Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Kolasinac and other attacking midfielders are creating chances regularly now.
Resulting in STRIKERS are scoring regularly and long may then continue into May 2019 and beyond.
The key is always Mesut Ozil finally knew how to time his accurate passes to the runs of both Lacazette and Aubameyang in sychronicity with both Ramsey and wingbacks late runs into the box.
But our STRIKEFORCE is still a big letdown, and not contributing to goal scored.
Both DEFEND and Owen Goal had exceeded expectation.


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+8) Europa Cup + 3 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 57 games.

We are out of Carabao Cup and FA Cup, look more and more like this can be one of our shortest season with 53 to 57 games played if we do not reach Europa Cup semi-final.

….. 4 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 2 FA Cup Round #3 & #4 games.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League Cup games.
… 21 goals scored = 1.91 goals per game after playing 11 Europa Cup games.
… 65 goals scored = 2.03 goals per game after playing 32 League games.
… 95 goals scored = 1.98 goals per game after playing 48 total games; or 112 goals after playing 57 games.


Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Koscielny is latest 19th goal scorer.

We have 19 different goal scorers for our first 33 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 05 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 07 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 10 ... 03 ... 00 - 01 -- 02 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 11 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 17 ... 06 ... 04 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 18 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 21 ... 03 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 23 ... 02 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 28 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 32 ... 04 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 47 ... 15 ... 13 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 69 ... 22 ... 17 - 04 -- 01 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 72 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 77 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 83 ... 06 ... 04 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 84 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 89 ... 05 ... 03 - 01 -- 01 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 95 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang .......... 22 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................. 15 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
04) Ramsey..................... 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 6 goals out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation
06) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
07) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Iwobi....................... .. 5 goals out of 10 goals expectation
09) Xhaka .................... .. 4 goals out of 5 goals expectation
10) Smith-Rowe .........…..3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Koscielny ............... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Mustafi.................... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Joe Willock ............... 3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Torreira................... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Sokratis ............. …… 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Maitland-Niles ......... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
17) Lichsteiner ............. …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
19) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation

20) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation

Penalties –– 5 no. awarded –– 4 no. converted : x – 1 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 1 ..... 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ---- 0 --- Ramsey (won by Ramsey against Vorskla (A))
….. 2 ..... 2 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Ventonghen handball against Tiny Totts (H))
….. 3 ..... 3 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Manga fouled Kolasinac against Cardiff (A))
….. 4 ..... 3 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- x --- Aubameyang (Sanchez fouled Aubameyang against Tiny Totts (A))
….. 5 ..... 4 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Fred pushed Lacazette against ManU (H))




Top-7 Table explained why it is Liverpool and Man City that are fighting for the title.

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
31 March 2019 – Liverpool 2 1 Tiny Totts
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 1 … 1 … 22 ….. 6 … 16 … … 25 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 5 ….. 5 … 1 … 16 ….. 8 ….. 8 … … 20 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 11 … 18 …. -7 … … 12 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 3 … 5 … 16 … 20 …. -4 … … 12 … Arsenal
….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 17 … 16 ….. 1 … … 10 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 3 … 3 ….. 9 … 14 …. -5 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 2 ….. 2 … 6 ….. 7 … 16 …. -9 … ….. 8 … Everton

Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 18
2008/09 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 2 … 16 … 18 …. -2 … … 14
2009/10 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 11 … 17 …. -6 … … 10
2010/11 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 3 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 13
2011/12 ….. 4 ….. 1 … 5 … 17 … 21 …. -4 … … 13
2012/13 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 16 …. -1 … ….. 9
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12

Arsenal have had finally won games against a Top-5 title contender – Tiny Totts, Chelski and ManU.
Certainly, Emery had better than Arsene Wenger against Top-6 since 2011/12 season.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 20 ….. 2 … 0 … 59 … 11 … 48 … … 62 … Liverpool
… 18 ….. 1 … 3 … 61 … 15 … 46 … … 55 … Abu Dhabi City
… 17 ….. 3 … 3 … 45 … 15 … 30 … … 54 … Chelski
… 18 ….. 0 … 4 … 43 … 18 … 25 … … 54 … Tiny Totts
… 17 ….. 4 … 3 … 52 … 26 … 26 … … 52 … Manchester United
… 15 ….. 3 … 2 … 47 … 20 … 27 … … 48 … Arsenal
… 11 ….. 5 … 7 … 39 … 26 … 13 … … 38 … Everton

Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
An indicator that Arsenal will need to win all remaining games against Bottom-13 teams to seal Top-4 position.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
… 15 ….. 3 … 2 … 47 … 20 … 27 … … 48 … 2018/19


Arsenal will finish 3rd if we win remaining 6 games against Bottom-13 teams.


Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd ….. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … … 83 points – Arsenal
2008/09 ….. 4th ….. 20 … 12 ….. 6 … 68 … 37 … 31 … … 72 points – Arsenal
2009/10 ….. 3rd ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 83 … 41 … 42 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2010/11 ….. 4th ….. 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 72 … 43 … 29 … … 68 points – Arsenal
2011/12 ….. 3rd ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 74 … 49 … 25 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2012/13 ….. 4th ….. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 72 … 37 … 35 … … 73 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 4th ….. 19 ….. 6 ….. 7 … 65 … 40 … 25 … … 63 points – Arsenal

We were awful against Everton – lakc of spirit, lack of cojones and with plenty of players just rolled after halfway into 2nd half.


…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
We are struggling during 2nd quarter had a decent 3rd Quarter going into 2019.
We are now stuttering in 4th Quarter and real danger of losing at least 3 away games.


4th Quarter 2018/19:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 4 ….. 0 … 0 … 11 ….. 3 ….. 8 … … 12 … Leicester City
….. 4 ….. 0 … 0 … 11 ….. 5 ….. 6 … … 12 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 7 ….. 1 ….. 6 … ….. 9 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 3 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 7 ….. 3 ….. 4 … ….. 9 … Everton
….. 2 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 5 ….. 4 ….. 1 … ….. 7 … Chelski (3rd April Brighton match excluded)
….. 2 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 1 ….. 3 … ….. 6 … Arsenal

….. 2 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 9 ….. 7 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Burnley
….. 2 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 4 ….. 0 … ….. 6 … Southampton
….. 2 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 4 ….. 0 … ….. 6 … Crystal Palace
….. 1 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 7 …. -2 … ….. 4 … Newcastle
….. 1 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 8 …. -3 … ….. 4 … Bournemouth
….. 1 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 3 ….. 4 …. -1 … ….. 4 … Wolves

….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 3 … Brighton
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 3 ….. 5 …. -2 … ….. 3 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 3 ….. 4 ….. 9 …. -5 … ….. 3 … West Ham United

….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 4 ….. 0 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 6 ….. 6 ….. 0 … ….. 3 … Watford
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 3 ….. 4 …. -1 … ….. 1 … Cardiff City
….. 0 ….. 0 … 4 ….. 4 … 11 …. -7 … ….. 0 … Huddersfield
….. 0 ….. 0 … 4 ….. 3 … 11 …. -8 … ….. 0 … Fulham



'I like the total intensification, where there are crashes and bangs everywhere, pure adrenaline and no one being able to breathe' Jurgen Klopp.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can we score 80+ league goals to regain Top-4 position?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
16 April, 2019 06:18
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DDW WDWLWDL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance … WLWW LWWW DW WLW

April 1, 2019 -- Round #31, Match #46
Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle [Ramsey, lacazette]

April 7, 2019 -- Round #32, Match #47
Everton 1-0 Arsenal []

April 11, 2019 -- Round #32, Match #48
Arsenal 2-0 Napoli
[Ramsey, o.g.]

April 15, 2019 -- Round #33, Match #49
Watford 0-1 Arsenal
[Aubameyang]

April 18, 2019 -- Round #33, Match #50
Napoli vs Arsenal
[]

April 21, 2019 -- Round #34, Match #51
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
[]

April 24, 2019 -- Round #35, Match #52
Wolves vs Arsenal
[]

April 29, 2019 -- Round #36, Match #53
Leicester City vs Arsenal
[]

May 4, 2019 -- Round #37, Match #54
Arsenal vs Brighton
[]

May 12, 2019 -- Round #38, Match #55
Burnley vs Arsenal
[]


The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.00% out of 65% expectation … 48 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 33.33% out of 25% expectation … 32 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.42% out of 07% expectation …. 10 out of 9 goals which exceeded expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 6.25% out of 03% expectation …. 6 out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation.

Playmaker in Ozil, Mkhitaryan, Kolasinac and other attacking midfielders are creating chances regularly now.
Resulting in STRIKERS are scoring regularly and long may then continue into May 2019 and beyond.
The key is always Mesut Ozil finally knew how to time his accurate passes to the runs of both Lacazette and Aubameyang in sychronicity with both Ramsey and wingbacks late runs into the box.
But our STRIKEFORCE is still a big letdown, and not contributing to goal scored.
Both DEFEND and Owen Goal had exceeded expectation.


Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+8) Europa Cup + 3 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 57 games.

We are out of Carabao Cup and FA Cup, look more and more like this can be one of our shortest season with 53 to 57 games played if we do not reach Europa Cup semi-final.

….. 4 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 2 FA Cup Round #3 & #4 games.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League Cup games.
… 21 goals scored = 1.91 goals per game after playing 11 Europa Cup games.
… 65 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 33 League games.
… 95 goals scored = 1.96 goals per game after playing 49 total games; or 111 goals after playing 57 games.


Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Koscielny is latest 19th goal scorer.

We have 19 different goal scorers for our first 33 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 03 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 05 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 07 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 10 ... 03 ... 00 - 01 -- 02 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 11 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 17 ... 06 ... 04 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 18 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 21 ... 03 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 23 ... 02 ... 00 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 28 ... 05 ... 04 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 32 ... 04 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 47 ... 15 ... 13 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 70 ... 23 ... 18 - 04 -- 01 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 73 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 78 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 84 ... 06 ... 04 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 85 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 90 ... 05 ... 03 - 01 -- 01 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 96 ... 06 ... 06 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang .......... 23 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................. 15 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
04) Ramsey..................... 6 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 6 goals out of 4 goals which exceeded expectation
06) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
07) Ozil ........................ .. 5 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Iwobi....................... .. 5 goals out of 10 goals expectation
09) Xhaka .................... .. 4 goals out of 5 goals expectation
10) Smith-Rowe .........…..3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
11) Koscielny ............... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Mustafi.................... .. 3 goals out of 2 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Joe Willock ............... 3 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Torreira................... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Sokratis ............. …… 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Maitland-Niles ......... .. 2 goals out of 1 goals which exceeded expectation
17) Lichsteiner ............. …1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
19) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation

20) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
21) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
22) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation

Penalties –– 5 no. awarded –– 4 no. converted : x – 1 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 1 ..... 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 1 ---- 0 --- Ramsey (won by Ramsey against Vorskla (A))
….. 2 ..... 2 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Ventonghen handball against Tiny Totts (H))
….. 3 ..... 3 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Manga fouled Kolasinac against Cardiff (A))
….. 4 ..... 3 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- x --- Aubameyang (Sanchez fouled Aubameyang against Tiny Totts (A))
….. 5 ..... 4 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 --- Aubameyang (Fred pushed Lacazette against ManU (H))



Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
14 April 2019 – Liverpool 2 0 chelski
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 9 ….. 1 … 1 … 25 ….. 6 … 19 … … 28 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 6 ….. 5 … 1 … 18 ….. 8 … 10 … … 23 … Liverpool
….. 4 ….. 3 … 5 … 18 … 20 …. -2 … … 15 … Arsenal
….. 3 ….. 3 … 5 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … … 12 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 17 … 16 ….. 1 … … 10 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 9 … 16 …. -7 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 2 ….. 2 … 6 ….. 7 … 16 …. -9 … ….. 8 … Everton


Top-7 Table explained why it is Liverpool and Man City that are fighting for the title.
Arsenal is in Top-4 race is simply due to their good results against Top-6 teams.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2007/08 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 2 … 16 … 11 ….. 5 … … 18
2008/09 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 2 … 16 … 18 …. -2 … … 14
2009/10 ….. 3 ….. 1 … 6 … 11 … 17 …. -6 … … 10
2010/11 ….. 3 ….. 4 … 3 … 14 … 12 ….. 2 … … 13
2011/12 ….. 4 ….. 1 … 5 … 17 … 21 …. -4 … … 13
2012/13 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 16 …. -1 … ….. 9
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 … 16 … 19 …. -3 … … 12

Arsenal have had finally won games against a Top-5 title contender – Tiny Totts, Chelski and ManU.
Certainly, Emery had better than Arsene Wenger against Top-6 since 2011/12 season.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 20 ….. 2 … 0 … 59 … 11 … 48 … … 62 … Liverpool
… 18 ….. 1 … 3 … 61 … 15 … 46 … … 55 … Abu Dhabi City
… 17 ….. 3 … 3 … 45 … 15 … 30 … … 54 … Chelski
… 18 ….. 0 … 4 … 43 … 18 … 25 … … 54 … Tiny Totts
… 17 ….. 4 … 3 … 52 … 26 … 26 … … 52 … Manchester United
… 16 ….. 3 … 2 … 48 … 20 … 28 … … 51 … Arsenal
… 11 ….. 5 … 8 … 39 … 28 … 11 … … 38 … Everton


Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
An indicator that Arsenal will need to win all remaining games against Bottom-13 teams to seal Top-4 position.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
… 16 ….. 3 … 2 … 48 … 20 … 28 … … 51 … 2018/19


Arsenal will finish 3rd if we win remaining 6 games against Bottom-13 teams.


Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd ….. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … … 83 points – Arsenal
2008/09 ….. 4th ….. 20 … 12 ….. 6 … 68 … 37 … 31 … … 72 points – Arsenal
2009/10 ….. 3rd ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 83 … 41 … 42 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2010/11 ….. 4th ….. 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 72 … 43 … 29 … … 68 points – Arsenal
2011/12 ….. 3rd ….. 21 ….. 7 … 10 … 74 … 49 … 25 … … 70 points – Arsenal
2012/13 ….. 4th ….. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 72 … 37 … 35 … … 73 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 4th ….. 20 ….. 6 ….. 7 … 66 … 40 … 26 … … 66 points – Arsenal

We were “Lucky, Lucky Arsenal” against Watford.
An Arsene Wenger team will lose its cojones and conceded an injury-time goal.
With 5 games to spare, point collected surpasses last season even with fewer goals scored; 66 vs 74.


…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
We are struggling during 2nd quarter had a decent 3rd Quarter going into 2019.
We are now stuttering in 4th Quarter and real danger of losing at least 3 away games.


4th Quarter 2018/19:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 5 ….. 0 … 0 … 13 ….. 5 ….. 8 … … 15 … Liverpool
….. 4 ….. 0 … 0 … 10 ….. 2 ….. 8 … … 12 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 4 ….. 0 … 1 … 11 ….. 4 ….. 7 … … 12 … Leicester City
….. 3 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 7 ….. 7 ….. 0 … … 10 … Newcastle
….. 3 ….. 0 … 2 … 11 ….. 7 ….. 4 … ….. 9 … Burnley
….. 3 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 7 ….. 5 ….. 2 … ….. 9 … Southampton
….. 3 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 7 ….. 5 ….. 2 … ….. 9 … Everton
….. 3 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 5 ….. 1 ….. 4 … ….. 9 … Arsenal

….. 2 ….. 1 … 2 … 10 ….. 8 ….. 2 … ….. 7 … Bournemouth
….. 2 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 … ….. 7 … Chelski (3rd April Brighton match excluded)
….. 2 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 8 ….. 4 ….. 4 … ….. 6 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 0 … 3 ….. 5 ….. 7 …. -2 … ….. 6 … Crystal Palace
….. 1 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 7 …. -3 … ….. 4 … Wolves

….. 1 ….. 0 … 3 ….. 6 ….. 7 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Watford
….. 1 ….. 0 … 4 ….. 5 … 11 …. -6 … ….. 3 … West Ham United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 4 ….. 5 … 11 …. -6 … ….. 3 … Fulham
….. 1 ….. 0 … 3 ….. 2 … 10 …. -8 … ….. 3 … Brighton
….. 1 ….. 0 … 3 ….. 3 ….. 6 …. -3 … ….. 1 … Cardiff City
….. 0 ….. 0 … 5 ….. 4 … 15 …-11 … ….. 0 … Huddersfield

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
Round #34 – League Table:
….. W … D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 26 ….. 7 ….. 1 … 77 … 20 … 57 … … 85 … Liverpool
… 27 ….. 2 ….. 4 … 86 … 22 … 64 … … 83 … Abu Dhabi City
… 22 ….. 1 … 10 … 64 … 34 … 30 … … 67 … Tiny Totts
… 20 ….. 6 ….. 7 … 66 … 40 … 26 … … 66 … Arsenal
… 20 ….. 6 ….. 8 … 57 … 36 … 21 … … 66 … Chelski
… 19 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 63 … 44 … 19 … … 64 … Manchester United


… 14 ….. 5 … 15 … 46 … 45 ….. 1 … … 47 … Leicester City
… 13 ….. 8 … 11 … 40 … 39 ….. 1 … … 47 … Wolves
… 14 ….. 7 … 13 … 48 … 42 ….. 6 … … 49 … Everton
… 13 ….. 7 … 13 … 47 … 48 …. -1 … … 46 … Watford

… 12 ….. 6 … 15 … 42 … 53 …-11 … … 42 … West Ham United
… 12 ….. 5 … 17 … 49 … 62 …-13 … … 41 … Bournemouth
… 11 ….. 6 … 16 … 40 … 44 …. -4 … … 39 … Crystal Palace
… 11 ….. 6 … 17 … 42 … 60 …-18 … … 39 … Burnley
… 10 ….. 8 … 16 … 32 … 43 …-11 … … 38 … Newcastle

….. 8 ….. 9 … 15 … 36 … 53 …-17 … … 33 … Southampton
….. 9 ….. 6 … 17 … 32 … 51 …-19 … … 33 … Brighton
….. 8 ….. 4 … 21 … 28 … 63 …-35 … … 28 … Cardiff
….. 5 ….. 5 … 24 … 32 … 76 …-44 … … 20 … Fulham
….. 3 ….. 5 … 26 … 19 … 66 …-47 … … 14 … Huddersfield



'I like the total intensification, where there are crashes and bangs everywhere, pure adrenaline and no one being able to breathe' Jurgen Klopp.


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