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130-Goal - Can Unai Emery breaks the November Blip Curse?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
30 October, 2018 05:36
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …

October 4, 2018 -- Round #7, Match #10
Qarabag 0-3 Arsenal[Sokratis, Smith-Rowe, Guendouzi]

October 8, 2018 -- Round #8, Match #11
Fulham 1-5 Arsenal [Lacazette (2), Ramsey, Aubameyang (2)]

October 22, 2018 -- Round #9, Match #12
Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City [Ozil, Aubameyang (2)]

October 25, 2018 -- Round #9, Match #12
Sporting Lisbon 0-1 Arsenal [Welbeck]

October 28, 2018 -- Round #10, Match #13
Crystal Palace 2-2 Arsenal
[Xhaka, Aubameyang]

October 31, 2018 -- Round #10, Match #14
Arsenal vs Blackpool
[]



The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 57.14% out of 65% expectation … 20 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 28.57% out of 25% expectation … 10 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed ….. 8.57% out of 07% expectation ….. 3 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.71% out of 03% expectation ….. 2 out of 04 goals expectation.

We are in Top-4 now. STRIKERS must continue scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 3 goals scored = 3.00 goals per game after playing 1 League Cup games.
….. 8 goals scored = 2.67 goals per game after playing 3 Europa Cup games.
… 24 goals scored = 2.40 goals per game after playing 10 League games.
… 35 goals scored = 2.50 goals per game after playing 14 total games; or 150 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Aaron Ramsey is latest 14th goal scorer.

9th goal scorer – Xhaka
10th goal scorer – Ozil
11th goal scorer – Sokratis
12th goal scorer – Smith-Rowe
13th goal scorer – Guendouzi
14th goal scorer – Ramsey

We have 14 different goal scorers for our first 14 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 02 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 03 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 04 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 08 ... 04 ... 03 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 10 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 15 ... 05 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 24 ... 09 ... 07 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 25 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 30 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 32 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 33 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 34 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 35 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 9 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 5 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
04) Ozil ........................ .. 4 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) Xhaka .................... .. 2 goals out of 5 goals expectation
06) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 2 goals out of 4 goals expectation

07) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
11) Sokratis ............. …… 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Smith-Rowe .........….. 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
14) Ramsey..................... 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation

15) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
16) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
17) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
18) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
19) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
20) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

21) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
22) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Tight race is tight now but will Chelski, Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight from the Pack by December 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 2 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 0 ….. 3 … ….. 7 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 2 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 5 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 2 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 5 ….. 1 … ….. 5 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 6 …. -2 … ….. 4 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 5 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 1 ….. 4 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Everton

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games, beat Everton and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.
Below tabulation indicated that we are inferior to the Top-5 teams for the past 5 years.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 7 ….. 0 … 0 … 17 ….. 2 … 15 … … 21 … Liverpool
….. 6 ….. 1 … 0 … 24 ….. 3 … 21 … … 19 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 6 ….. 1 … 0 … 18 ….. 2 … 16 … … 19 … Chelski
….. 6 ….. 1 … 0 … 20 ….. 8 … 12 … … 19 … Arsenal
….. 6 ….. 0 … 1 … 12 ….. 5 ….. 7 … … 18 … Tiny Totts
….. 4 ….. 1 … 2 … 13 … 11 ….. 1 … … 13 … Manchester United
….. 4 ….. 3 … 1 … 15 … 10 ….. 5 … … 12 … Everton


Look more and more likely that it will be ManU and Tiny Totts that will miss out Top-4 Finish.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 6 ….. 1 … 0 … 20 ….. 8 … 12 … … 19 … 2018/19

Arsenal will be Top-4 if they manage to collect 74 out of 78 points available against Bottom-13 teams.

Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2018/19 ….. 4th ……. 7 ….. 1 ….. 2 … 24 … 13 … 11 … … 22 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal expected result under Unai Emery?


1st Quarter 2018/19 Top-10 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 2 … 0 … 27 ….. 3 … 24 … … 26 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 8 ….. 2 … 0 … 20 ….. 4 … 16 … … 26 … Liverpool
….. 7 ….. 3 … 0 … 24 ….. 7 … 16 … … 24 … Chelski
….. 7 ….. 1 … 2 … 24 … 13 … 11 … … 22 … Arsenal
….. 7 ….. 0 … 3 … 16 ….. 8 ….. 8 … … 21 … Tiny Totts
….. 6 ….. 2 … 2 … 19 … 12 ….. 7 … … 20 … Bournemouth
….. 6 ….. 1 … 3 … 16 … 12 ….. 4 … … 19 … Watford
….. 5 ….. 2 … 3 … 17 … 17 ….. 0 … … 17 … Manchester United
….. 4 ….. 3 … 3 … 16 … 14 ….. 2 … … 15 … Everton
….. 4 ….. 3 … 3 ….. 9 ….. 9 ….. 2 … … 15 … Wolves

We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
2nd quarter will be the making of Unai Emery if he overcome the November Blip Curse and “Horrendous Injury List” during the wintry months – the bane of Arsene Wenger latter half regime.



'Most owners take out of the club and Vichai just put in. Without him, we would not have won the Premier League. It was a once-in-a-lifetime thing.' Danny Barry, a Leicester City fan for 64 years.

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can Unai Emery breaks the November Blip Curse?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
01 November, 2018 04:49
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …

October 4, 2018 -- Round #7, Match #10
Qarabag 0-3 Arsenal[Sokratis, Smith-Rowe, Guendouzi]

October 8, 2018 -- Round #8, Match #11
Fulham 1-5 Arsenal [Lacazette (2), Ramsey, Aubameyang (2)]

October 22, 2018 -- Round #9, Match #12
Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City [Ozil, Aubameyang (2)]

October 25, 2018 -- Round #9, Match #12
Sporting Lisbon 0-1 Arsenal [Welbeck]

October 28, 2018 -- Round #10, Match #13
Crystal Palace 2-2 Arsenal [Xhaka, Aubameyang]

October 31, 2018 -- Round #10, Match #14
Arsenal 2-1 Blackpool
[Lichsteiner, Smith-Rowe]

November 3, 2018 -- Round #11, Match #15
Arsenal vs Liverpool
[]


The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 54.05% out of 65% expectation … 20 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 29.73% out of 25% expectation … 11 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.81% out of 07% expectation ….. 3 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.41% out of 03% expectation ….. 2 out of 04 goals expectation.

We are in Top-4 now. STRIKERS must continue scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 5 goals scored = 2.50 goals per game after playing 2 League Cup games.
….. 8 goals scored = 2.67 goals per game after playing 3 Europa Cup games.
… 24 goals scored = 2.40 goals per game after playing 10 League games.
… 37 goals scored = 2.47 goals per game after playing 15 total games; or 148 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Stephan Lichtsteiner is latest 15th goal scorer.

9th goal scorer – Xhaka
10th goal scorer – Ozil
11th goal scorer – Sokratis
12th goal scorer – Smith-Rowe
13th goal scorer – Guendouzi
14th goal scorer – Ramsey

We have 15 different goal scorers for our first 15 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 02 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 03 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 05 ... 02 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 06 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 10 ... 04 ... 03 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 12 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 17 ... 05 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 26 ... 09 ... 07 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 27 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 32 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 34 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 35 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 36 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 37 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 9 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 5 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
04) Ozil ........................ .. 4 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) Xhaka .................... .. 2 goals out of 5 goals expectation
06) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 2 goals out of 4 goals expectation
07) Smith-Rowe .........….. 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation

08) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
11) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
12) Ramsey..................... 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation

13) Sokratis ............. …… 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Lichsteiner ............. ... 1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation [/color]

16) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
17) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
18) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
19) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
20) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

21) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
22) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
14) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can Unai Emery breaks the November Blip Curse?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
05 November, 2018 04:40
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD D
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …

November 3, 2018 -- Round #11, Match #15
Arsenal 1-1 Liverpool
[Lacazette]


The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 55.26% out of 65% expectation … 21 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 28.95% out of 25% expectation … 11 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.53% out of 07% expectation ….. 4 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.26% out of 03% expectation ….. 2 out of 04 goals expectation.

We are in Top-4 now. STRIKERS must continue scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 5 goals scored = 2.50 goals per game after playing 2 League Cup games.
….. 8 goals scored = 2.67 goals per game after playing 3 Europa Cup games.
… 25 goals scored = 2.27 goals per game after playing 10 League games.
… 38 goals scored = 2.38 goals per game after playing 16 total games; or 142 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Stephan Lichtsteiner is latest 15th goal scorer.

9th goal scorer – Xhaka
10th goal scorer – Ozil
11th goal scorer – Sokratis
12th goal scorer – Smith-Rowe
13th goal scorer – Guendouzi
14th goal scorer – Ramsey

We have 15 different goal scorers for our first 16 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 02 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 03 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 05 ... 02 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 06 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 10 ... 04 ... 03 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 12 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 18 ... 06 ... 05 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 27 ... 09 ... 07 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 28 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 33 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 35 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 36 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 37 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 38 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 9 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 6 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
04) Ozil ........................ .. 4 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) Xhaka .................... .. 2 goals out of 5 goals expectation
06) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 2 goals out of 4 goals expectation
07) Smith-Rowe .........….. 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation

08) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
11) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
12) Ramsey..................... 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation

13) Sokratis ............. …… 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Lichsteiner ............. … 1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation [/color]

16) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
17) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
18) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
19) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
20) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

21) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
22) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
14) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Tight race is tight now but will Chelski, Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight from the Pack by December 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 2 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 0 ….. 3 … ….. 7 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 3 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 6 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 2 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 5 ….. 1 … ….. 5 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 6 …. -2 … ….. 4 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 … ….. 4 … Arsenal
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 1 ….. 4 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Everton

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games, beat Everton and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.
Below tabulation indicated that we are inferior to the Top-5 teams for the past 5 years.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 3 ….. 6 …. -3 … ….. 1


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 7 ….. 1 … 0 … 30 ….. 4 … 26 … … 22 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 7 ….. 1 … 0 … 21 ….. 3 … 18 … … 22 … Chelski
….. 7 ….. 0 … 0 … 17 ….. 2 … 15 … … 21 … Liverpool
….. 7 ….. 0 … 1 … 15 ….. 7 ….. 8 … … 21 … Tiny Totts
….. 6 ….. 1 … 0 … 20 ….. 8 … 12 … … 19 … Arsenal
….. 5 ….. 1 … 2 … 15 … 12 ….. 3 … … 16 … Manchester United
….. 5 ….. 3 … 1 … 18 … 11 ….. 7 … … 15 … Everton


A very tight race for Top-4 Finish with even Everton involves if they can string together a run.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.

Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 6 ….. 1 … 0 … 20 ….. 8 … 12 … … 19 … 2018/19

Arsenal will be Top-4 if they manage to collect 74 out of 78 points available against Bottom-13 teams.

Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 5th ……. 7 ….. 2 ….. 2 … 25 … 14 … 11 … … 23 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal expected result under Unai Emery?


We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
2nd quarter will be the making of Unai Emery if he overcome the November Blip Curse and “Horrendous Injury List” during the wintry months – the bane of Arsene Wenger latter half regime.
2nd Quarter 2018/19 Top-10 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 1 ….. 5 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … West Ham United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Everton
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts

….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 1 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Leicester City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Newcastle
….. 0 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 1 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 1 … Liverpool

….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 1 ….. 2 …. -1 … ….. 0 … Bournemouth
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 3 …. -1 … ….. 0 … Wolves
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 1 ….. 2 …. -1 … ….. 0 … Watford

 
Re: 130-Goal - Can Unai Emery breaks the November Blip Curse?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
12 November, 2018 05:38
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW WWD DD
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …

November 3, 2018 -- Round #11, Match #16
Arsenal 1-1 Liverpool [Lacazette]

November 8, 2018 -- Round #11, Match #17
Arsenal 0-0 Sporting Lisbon []

November 11, 2018 -- Round #12, Match #18
Arsenal 1-1 Wolves
[Mkhitaryan]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 53.85% out of 65% expectation … 21 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 30.77% out of 25% expectation … 12 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.26% out of 07% expectation ….. 4 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 5.12% out of 03% expectation ….. 2 out of 04 goals expectation.

We are in Top-4 now. STRIKERS must continue scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 5 goals scored = 2.50 goals per game after playing 2 League Cup games.
….. 8 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 4 Europa Cup games.
… 26 goals scored = 2.17 goals per game after playing 12 League games.
… 39 goals scored = 2.17 goals per game after playing 18 total games; or 130 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Stephan Lichtsteiner is latest 15th goal scorer.

9th goal scorer – Xhaka
10th goal scorer – Ozil
11th goal scorer – Sokratis
12th goal scorer – Smith-Rowe
13th goal scorer – Guendouzi
14th goal scorer – Ramsey

We have 15 different goal scorers for our first 16 games.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 02 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 03 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 05 ... 02 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 01 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 06 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 10 ... 04 ... 03 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 12 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 18 ... 06 ... 05 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 27 ... 09 ... 07 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 28 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 33 ... 05 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 35 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 36 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 37 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 39 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 9 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 6 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................…. 5 goals out of 16 goals expectation
04) Ozil ........................ .. 4 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) Xhaka .................... .. 2 goals out of 5 goals expectation
06) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 2 goals out of 4 goals expectation
07) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 2 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Smith-Rowe .........….. 2 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation

09) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
11) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
12) Ramsey..................... 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation

13) Sokratis ............. …… 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
14) Lichsteiner ............. … 1 goals out of 0 goals which exceeded expectation
15) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation [/color]

16) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
17) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
18) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
19) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
20) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

21) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
22) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
14) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Tight race is tight now but will Chelski, Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight from the Pack by December 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 1 ….. 5 … … 10 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 3 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 5 ….. 1 … ….. 6 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 … ….. 4 … Arsenal
….. 1 ….. 3 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 6 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 9 …. -4 … ….. 4 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 1 ….. 4 …. -3 … ….. 1 … Everton

Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 1 … 2 ….. 3 ….. 6 …. -3 … ….. 1

Arsenal have yet to win a game against a Top-5 title contender.
Below tabulation indicated that we are inferior to the Top-5 teams for the past 5 years.


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 8 ….. 0 … 1 … 16 ….. 7 ….. 8 … … 24 … Tiny Totts
….. 7 ….. 1 … 0 … 30 ….. 4 … 26 … … 22 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 7 ….. 1 … 0 … 21 ….. 3 … 18 … … 22 … Chelski
….. 7 ….. 0 … 0 … 17 ….. 2 … 15 … … 21 … Liverpool
….. 6 ….. 2 … 0 … 21 ….. 9 … 12 … … 20 … Arsenal
….. 5 ….. 1 … 2 … 15 … 12 ….. 3 … … 16 … Manchester United
….. 5 ….. 3 … 1 … 18 … 11 ….. 7 … … 15 … Everton


A very tight race for Top-4 Finish with even Everton involves if they can string together a run.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
We will regain Top-4 status by remaining unbeaten for the rest of the season; or draw/loss less than 6 games against Bottom-13.

Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 6 ….. 2 … 0 … 21 ….. 9 … 12 … … 20 … 2018/19

Arsenal will be Top-4 if they manage to collect 74 out of 78 points available against Bottom-13 teams.

Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2018/19 ….. 5th ……. 7 ….. 3 ….. 2 … 26 … 15 … 11 … … 24 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal expected result under Unai Emery?


We have a good 1st quarter, attained Top-4.
2nd quarter will be the making of Unai Emery if he overcome the November Blip Curse and “Horrendous Injury List” during the wintry months – the bane of Arsene Wenger latter half regime.
2nd Quarter 2018/19 Top-10 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 9 ….. 2 ….. 7 … ….. 6 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Tiny Totts
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Newcastle
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 5 ….. 3 ….. 2 … ….. 4 … West Ham United
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 4 … Chelski

….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 4 … Everton
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 4 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 1 ….. 0 ….. 1 … ….. 4 … Leicester City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 3 ….. 4 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Manchester United
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 0 … ….. 3 … Cardiff City

….. 0 ….. 2 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 0 … ….. 2 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 2 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 0 … ….. 2 … Huddersfield
….. 0 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 3 ….. 4 …. -1 … ….. 1 … Wolves
….. 0 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 3 …. -1 … ….. 1 … Watford
….. 0 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 4 …. -2 … ….. 1 … Burnley

….. 0 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 2 ….. 7 …. -5 … ….. 1 … Southampton
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 4 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Bournemouth
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Brighton
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Fulham
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 1 ….. 4 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Crystal Palace


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