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Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
21 August, 2018 06:28
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LL
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …


August 11, 2018 -- Round #1, Match #1
Arsenal 0-2 Man City []

August 18, 2018 -- Round #2, Match #2
Arsenal 2-3 Chelski
[Mkhitaryan, Iwobi]

August 25, 2018 -- Round #3, Match #3
Arsenal v West Ham []


Arsenal Top-7 Results (including Everton) Comparison for past 5 seasons:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 ….. 4 … 5 … 10 … 23 …-13 … … 13 … 2013/14
….. 3 ….. 6 … 3 … 18 … 15 ….. 3 … … 15 … 2014/15
….. 4 ….. 5 … 3 … 19 … 16 ….. 3 … … 17 … 2015/16
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 19 … 21 …. -2 … … 12 … 2016/17
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 20 … 24 …. -4 … … 12 … 2017/18
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … 2018/19


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … 2018/19


2017/18 results against Bottom-13 teams is the worst for the past 10 seasons.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.00% out of 65% expectation ….. 1 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 50.00% out of 25% expectation ….. 1 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed ….. 0.00% out of 07% expectation ….. 0 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"..................... 0.00% out of 03% expectation ….. 0 out of 04 goals expectation.

Profligate STRIKERS are the primary reason why we flopped last season.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 Europa Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 2 goals scored = 1.00 goals per game after playing 2 League games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

Mkhitaryan is the 1st goal scorer.
Iwobi is the 2nd goal scorer.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 02 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal




Goal scorers.

01) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
02) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
03) Lacazette................... 0 goals out of 25 goals expectation
04) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) Aubameyang ............ 0 goals out of 30 goals expectation
06) Welbeck................ …. 0 goals out of 16 goals expectation
07) Monreal................ …. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
08) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Ozil ........................ .. 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
10) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 0 goals out of 4 goals expectation
11) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
12) Xhaka .................... .. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
13) Mustafi.................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Arsenal out of the title race by September 2018 with Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight by October 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Tiny Totts
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Everton

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 0 ….. 6 … ….. 6 … Liverpool
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 5 ….. 2 ….. 3 … ….. 6 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 4 … Everton
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 1 ….. 5 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 0 ….. 3 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 4 ….. 0 … ….. 3 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Arsenal

Man City is awesome and can remain unbeaten against Bottom-13 teams.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
Last season, Top-7 results against Bottom-13 teams lined up perfectly with League Table position.



Table C – Comparison to Title Winners and 2007/08 season:
Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd …. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … 83 points – Arsenal
2015/16 ….. 1st ….. 23 … 12 ….. 3 … 68 … 36 … 32 … 81 points – Leicester City
2016/17 ….. 1st ….. 30 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 85 … 33 … 52 … 93 points – Chelski
2017/18 ….. 1st ….. 32 ….. 4 ….. 2 . 106 … 27 … 79 . 100 points – Abu Dhabi City

2018/19 ….. 3rd …. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 75 … 37 … 36 … 73 points – Optimistic prediction
2018/19 ….. 6th ……. 0 ….. 0 ….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 ….. 0 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … 63 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … 71 points – Arsenal
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … 75 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … 79 points – Arsenal

Last season was the worst of Wenger Era and exceeded on our average of 7 losses for the past 7 seasons.

2015/16 Leicester City proved that an inferior team can still be a title-winner by being unbeaten against Bottom-12 teams, and loses only 3 games against Top-8 teams.



'If you want to be unhappy, just compare.' Chinese Proverb

'Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm.' Winston Churchill

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
28 August, 2018 06:10
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …


August 11, 2018 -- Round #1, Match #1
Arsenal 0-2 Man City []

August 18, 2018 -- Round #2, Match #2
Arsenal 2-3 Chelski [Mkhitaryan, Iwobi]

August 25, 2018 -- Round #3, Match #3
Arsenal 3-1 West Ham
[Monreal, Owen Goal, Welbeck]

Arsenal Top-7 Results (including Everton) Comparison for past 5 seasons:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 ….. 4 … 5 … 10 … 23 …-13 … … 13 … 2013/14
….. 3 ….. 6 … 3 … 18 … 15 ….. 3 … … 15 … 2014/15
….. 4 ….. 5 … 3 … 19 … 16 ….. 3 … … 17 … 2015/16
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 19 … 21 …. -2 … … 12 … 2016/17
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 20 … 24 …. -4 … … 12 … 2017/18
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 … ….. 3 … 2018/19


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 0 … 2018/19


2017/18 results against Bottom-13 teams is the worst for the past 10 seasons.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 40.00% out of 65% expectation ….. 2 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 20.00% out of 25% expectation ….. 1 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 20.00% out of 07% expectation ….. 1 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"................... 20.00% out of 03% expectation ….. 1 out of 04 goals expectation.

STRIKER : 40.00% goals scored 2 goals
MIDFIELD : 20.00% goals scored 1 goals
DEFENCE : 20.00% goals scored 1 goals
"Dubious" goal: 20.00% goals scored 1 goals

Profligate STRIKERS are the primary reason why we flopped last season.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 Europa Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 5 goals scored = 1.67 goals per game after playing 3 League games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

Mkhitaryan is the 1st goal scorer.
Iwobi is the 2nd goal scorer.
Monreal is the 3rd goal scorer.
Own Goal is the 4th goal scorer.
Welbeck is the 5th goal scorer.

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 02 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 03 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 05 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac




Goal scorers.

01) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
02) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
06) Welbeck................ …. 1 goals out of 16 goals expectation
07) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 1 goals out of 4 goals expectation

03) Lacazette................... 0 goals out of 25 goals expectation
04) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) Aubameyang ............ 0 goals out of 30 goals expectation
08) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Ozil ........................ .. 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
11) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
12) Xhaka .................... .. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
13) Mustafi.................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals which exceeded expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Arsenal out of the title race by September 2018 with Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight by October 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 0 ….. 3 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 3 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Everton

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 7 ….. 0 ….. 7 … ….. 9 … Liverpool
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 5 ….. 1 ….. 4 … ….. 6 … Chelski
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 5 ….. 2 ….. 3 … ….. 6 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 2 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 5 ….. 1 … ….. 5 … Everton
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 7 ….. 2 ….. 5 … ….. 4 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 1 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Arsenal
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 4 ….. 0 … ….. 3 … Manchester United


Look more and more likely that it will be ManU and Arsenal that will miss out Top-4 Finish.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
Last season, Top-7 results against Bottom-13 teams lined up perfectly with League Table position.



Table C – Comparison to Title Winners and 2007/08 season:
Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd …. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … 83 points – Arsenal
2015/16 ….. 1st ….. 23 … 12 ….. 3 … 68 … 36 … 32 … 81 points – Leicester City
2016/17 ….. 1st ….. 30 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 85 … 33 … 52 … 93 points – Chelski
2017/18 ….. 1st ….. 32 ….. 4 ….. 2 . 106 … 27 … 79 . 100 points – Abu Dhabi City

2018/19 ….. 3rd …. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 75 … 37 … 36 … 73 points – Optimistic prediction
2018/19 ….. 6th ……. 1 ….. 0 ….. 2 ….. 5 ….. 6 …. -1 ….. 3 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … 63 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … 71 points – Arsenal
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … 75 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … 79 points – Arsenal

Last season was the worst of Wenger Era and exceeded on our average of 7 losses for the past 7 seasons.

2015/16 Leicester City proved that an inferior team can still be a title-winner by being unbeaten against Bottom-12 teams, and loses only 3 games against Top-8 teams.

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
03 September, 2018 06:58
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW W
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …


September 1, 2018 -- Round #4, Match #4
Cardiff City 2-3 Arsenal
[Mustafi, Aubameyang, Lacazette]

Arsenal Top-7 Results (including Everton) Comparison for past 5 seasons:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 ….. 4 … 5 … 10 … 23 …-13 … … 13 … 2013/14
….. 3 ….. 6 … 3 … 18 … 15 ….. 3 … … 15 … 2014/15
….. 4 ….. 5 … 3 … 19 … 16 ….. 3 … … 17 … 2015/16
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 19 … 21 …. -2 … … 12 … 2016/17
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 20 … 24 …. -4 … … 12 … 2017/18
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … 2018/19


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 3 ….. 3 … ….. 6 … 2018/19


2017/18 results against Bottom-13 teams is the worst for the past 10 seasons.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.00% out of 65% expectation ….. 4 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 12.50% out of 25% expectation ….. 1 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 25.00% out of 07% expectation ….. 2 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"................... 12.50% out of 03% expectation ….. 1 out of 04 goals expectation.

Profligate STRIKERS are the primary reason why we flopped last season.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 Europa Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 8 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 4 League games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

6th goal scorer - Mustafi
7th goal scorer - Aubameyang
8th goal scorer - Lacazette

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 02 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 03 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 05 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 06 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 07 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 08 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac




Goal scorers.

01) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
02) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................ …. 1 goals out of 16 goals expectation
04) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
05) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 1 goals out of 4 goals expectation
06) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
07) Aubameyang ............ 1 goals out of 30 goals expectation
08) Lacazette................... 1 goals out of 25 goals expectation

09) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
10) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
11) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
12) Xhaka .................... .. 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
09) Ozil ........................ .. 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Arsenal out of the title race by September 2018 with Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight by October 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 0 ….. 3 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 3 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Everton

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 4 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 9 ….. 1 ….. 8 … … 12 … Liverpool
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 7 ….. 1 ….. 6 … ….. 9 … Chelski
….. 2 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 9 ….. 3 ….. 6 … ….. 7 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 2 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 6 ….. 3 ….. 3 … ….. 6 … Arsenal
….. 2 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 6 ….. 4 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Manchester United
….. 2 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 6 ….. 4 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 3 … 0 ….. 7 ….. 6 ….. 1 … ….. 6 … Everton


Look more and more likely that it will be ManU and Arsenal that will miss out Top-4 Finish.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
Last season, Top-7 results against Bottom-13 teams lined up perfectly with League Table position.



Table C – Comparison to Title Winners and 2007/08 season:
Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd …. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … 83 points – Arsenal
2015/16 ….. 1st ….. 23 … 12 ….. 3 … 68 … 36 … 32 … 81 points – Leicester City
2016/17 ….. 1st ….. 30 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 85 … 33 … 52 … 93 points – Chelski
2017/18 ….. 1st ….. 32 ….. 4 ….. 2 . 106 … 27 … 79 . 100 points – Abu Dhabi City

2018/19 ….. 3rd …. 21 … 10 ….. 7 … 75 … 37 … 36 … 73 points – Optimistic prediction
2018/19 ….. 9th ……. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 ….. 8 ….. 8 ….. 0 ….. 6 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … 63 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … 71 points – Arsenal
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … 75 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … 79 points – Arsenal

Last season was the worst of Wenger Era and exceeded on our average of 7 losses for the past 7 seasons.

2015/16 Leicester City proved that an inferior team can still be a title-winner by being unbeaten against Bottom-12 teams, and loses only 3 games against Top-8 teams.



'If you want to be unhappy, just compare.' Chinese Proverb

'Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm.' Winston Churchill

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
17 September, 2018 06:34
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WW
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …


September 15, 2018 -- Round #5, Match #5
Newcastle 1-2 Arsenal
[Xhaka, Ozil]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 40.00% out of 65% expectation ….. 4 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 30.00% out of 25% expectation ….. 3 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 20.00% out of 07% expectation ….. 2 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"................... 10.00% out of 03% expectation ….. 1 out of 04 goals expectation.

If we are to regain Top-4 status, STRIKERS must start scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 Europa Cup games.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
… 10 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 5 League games; or 120 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

9th goal scorer - Xhaka
10th goal scorer - Ozil

We have 10 different goal scorers for our first 10 goals scored!

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 02 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 03 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 05 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 06 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 07 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 08 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 09 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 10 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.

01) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
02) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................ …. 1 goals out of 16 goals expectation
04) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
05) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 1 goals out of 4 goals expectation
06) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
07) Aubameyang ............ 1 goals out of 30 goals expectation
08) Lacazette................... 1 goals out of 25 goals expectation
09) Ozil ........................ .. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... .. 1 goals out of 3 goals expectation

11) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
12) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
13) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Arsenal out of the title race by September 2018 with Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight by October 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 1 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Liverpool
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 3 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Manchester United
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 … ….. 0 … Everton

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 4 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 9 ….. 1 ….. 8 … … 12 … Liverpool
….. 4 ….. 0 … 0 … 11 ….. 2 ….. 9 … … 12 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 1 … 0 … 12 ….. 3 ….. 9 … … 10 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 3 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 8 ….. 5 ….. 3 … ….. 9 … Manchester United
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 8 ….. 4 ….. 4 … ….. 9 … Arsenal
….. 2 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 6 ….. 4 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 3 … 1 ….. 8 ….. 9 …. -1 … ….. 6 … Everton


Look more and more likely that it will be ManU and Arsenal that will miss out Top-4 Finish.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
Last season, Top-7 results against Bottom-13 teams lined up perfectly with League Table position.


…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Table C – Comparison to Title Winners and 2007/08 season:
Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2007/08 ….. 3rd …. 24 … 11 ….. 3 … 74 … 31 … 43 … 83 points – Arsenal
2015/16 ….. 1st ….. 23 … 12 ….. 3 … 68 … 36 … 32 … 81 points – Leicester City
2016/17 ….. 1st ….. 30 ….. 3 ….. 5 … 85 … 33 … 52 … 93 points – Chelski
2017/18 ….. 1st ….. 32 ….. 4 ….. 2 . 106 … 27 … 79 . 100 points – Abu Dhabi City

2015/16 Leicester City proved that an inferior team can still be a title-winner by being unbeaten against Bottom-12 teams, and loses only 3 games against Top-8 teams.
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Arsenal Top-7 Results (including Everton) Comparison for past 5 seasons:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 3 ….. 4 … 5 … 10 … 23 …-13 … … 13 … 2013/14
….. 3 ….. 6 … 3 … 18 … 15 ….. 3 … … 15 … 2014/15
….. 4 ….. 5 … 3 … 19 … 16 ….. 3 … … 17 … 2015/16
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 19 … 21 …. -2 … … 12 … 2016/17
….. 3 ….. 3 … 6 … 20 … 24 …. -4 … … 12 … 2017/18
….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0 … 2018/19

Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 8 ….. 4 ….. 4 … ….. 9 … 2018/19

2017/18 results against Bottom-13 teams is the worst for the past 10 seasons.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………


2018/19 ….. 7th ……. 3 ….. 0 ….. 2 … 10 ….. 9 ….. 1 ….. 9 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … 63 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … 71 points – Arsenal
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … 75 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … 79 points – Arsenal


Predictions for Arsenal 2018/19 results against Top-7 Mini-League are:

….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 4 ….. 5 ….. 3 … 24 … 15 ….. 9 … … 17 … 2018/19 – Most Optimistic
….. 3 ….. 3 ….. 6 … 19 … 21 …. -2 … … 12 … 2018/19 – Most likely
….. 2 ….. 4 ….. 6 … 19 … 24 …. -5 … … 10 … 2018/19 – Most Pessimistic


Predictions for Arsenal 2018/19 results against Bottom-13 teams are:

….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 ….. 2 … 64 … 18 … 46 … … 67 … 2018/19 – Most Optimistic
… 16 ….. 8 ….. 2 … 58 … 21 … 36 … … 56 … 2018/19 – Most likely
… 16 ….. 3 ….. 7 … 58 … 21 … 36 … … 51 … 2018/19 – Most Pessimistic

Adding Top-7 Mini-League and Bottom-13 team results together for predicted 2018/19 Table Position:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 77 … 33 … 43 … … 79 … 2018/19 – Most Optimistic
… 19 … 11 ….. 8 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 68 … 2018/19 – Most likely. Enough for Top-4 Finish?
… 18 ….. 7 … 13 … 76 … 51 … 25 … … 61 … 2018/19 – Most Pessimistic




'If you want to be unhappy, just compare.' Chinese Proverb

'Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm.' Winston Churchill

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
21 September, 2018 06:07
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WW
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …


September 15, 2018 -- Round #5, Match #6
Arsenal 4-2 Vorskla
[Aubameyang, Welbeck, Aubameyang, Ozil]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.00% out of 65% expectation ….. 7 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 28.57% out of 25% expectation ….. 4 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 14.29% out of 07% expectation ….. 2 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"..................... 7.14% out of 03% expectation ….. 1 out of 04 goals expectation.

If we are to regain Top-4 status, STRIKERS must start scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League Cup games.
….. 4 goals scored = 1.00 goals per game after playing 0 Europa Cup games.
… 10 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 5 League games; or 120 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

9th goal scorer - Xhaka
10th goal scorer - Ozil

We have 10 different goal scorers for our first 10 goals scored!

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 02 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 03 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 07 ... 03 ... 01 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 08 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 10 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 11 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 12 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 13 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 14 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 3 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Welbeck................ ….2 goals out of 16 goals expectation
03) Ozil ........................ .. 2 goals out of 8 goals expectation


04) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
05) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
06) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
07) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 1 goals out of 4 goals expectation
08) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Lacazette................... 1 goals out of 25 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... .. 1 goals out of 3 goals expectation

11) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
12) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
13) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
24 September, 2018 06:15
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWW
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …


September 15, 2018 -- Round #5, Match #6
Arsenal 4-2 Vorskla [Aubameyang, Welbeck, Aubameyang, Ozil]

September 15, 2018 -- Round #6, Match #7
Arsenal 2-0 Everton
[Lacazette, Aubameyang]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 56.25% out of 65% expectation ….. 9 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 25.00% out of 25% expectation ….. 4 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 12.50% out of 07% expectation ….. 2 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"..................... 6.25% out of 03% expectation ….. 1 out of 04 goals expectation.

If we are to regain Top-4 status, STRIKERS must start scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing 0 League Cup games.
….. 4 goals scored = 1.00 goals per game after playing 0 Europa Cup games.
… 12 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 6 League games.
… 16 goals scored = 2.29 goals per game after playing 7 total games; or 137 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

9th goal scorer - Xhaka
10th goal scorer - Ozil

We have 10 different goal scorers for our first 10 goals scored!

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 02 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 03 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 05 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 09 ... 04 ... 02 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 10 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 12 ... 02 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 13 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 14 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 15 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 16 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 4 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 3 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................…. 2 goals out of 16 goals expectation


04) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
05) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
06) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
07) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 1 goals out of 4 goals expectation
08) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Ozil ........................ .. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... .. 1 goals out of 3 goals expectation
11) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
12) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
13) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Arsenal out of the title race by September 2018 with Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight by October 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 1 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 5 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Arsenal

….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 3 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Manchester United

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 5 ….. 0 … 0 … 12 ….. 1 … 11 … … 15 … Liverpool
….. 4 ….. 1 … 0 … 17 ….. 3 … 14 … … 13 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 4 ….. 1 … 0 … 11 ….. 2 ….. 9 … … 13 … Chelski
….. 3 ….. 1 … 1 ….. 9 ….. 6 ….. 3 … … 10 … Manchester United
….. 3 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 8 ….. 4 ….. 4 … ….. 9 … Arsenal
….. 3 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 8 ….. 5 ….. 3 … ….. 9 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 3 … 1 ….. 8 ….. 9 …. -1 … ….. 6 … Everton


Look more and more likely that it will be ManU and Arsenal that will miss out Top-4 Finish.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
Last season, Top-7 results against Bottom-13 teams lined up perfectly with League Table position.

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
03 October, 2018 05:56
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …


September 20, 2018 -- Round #5, Match #6
Arsenal 4-2 Vorskla [Aubameyang, Welbeck, Aubameyang, Ozil]

September 23, 2018 -- Round #6, Match #7
Arsenal 2-0 Everton [Lacazette, Aubameyang]

September 26, 2018 -- Round #6, Match #8
Arsenal 3-1 Bentford [Welbeck (2), Lacazette]

September 29, 2018 -- Round #7, Match #9
Arsenal 2-0 Watford
[o.g., Ozil]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 57.14% out of 65% expectation … 12 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 23.82% out of 25% expectation ….. 5 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed ….. 9.52% out of 07% expectation ….. 2 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 9.52% out of 03% expectation ….. 2 out of 04 goals expectation.

If we are to regain Top-4 status, STRIKERS must start scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 3 goals scored = 3.00 goals per game after playing 1 League Cup games.
….. 4 goals scored = 4.00 goals per game after playing 1 Europa Cup games.
… 14 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 7 League games.
… 21 goals scored = 2.33 goals per game after playing 9 total games; or 140 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

9th goal scorer - Xhaka
10th goal scorer - Ozil

We have 10 different goal scorers for our first 10 goals scored!

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 03 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 04 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 07 ... 03 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 11 ... 04 ... 02 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 12 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 16 ... 04 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 18 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 19 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 20 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 21 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 4 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Welbeck................…. 4 goals out of 16 goals expectation
03) Lacazette................... 3 goals out of 25 goals expectation
04) Ozil ........................ .. 3 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 2 goals out of 4 goals expectation

06) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
07) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... .. 1 goals out of 3 goals expectation
11) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
12) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
13) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
18) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
23) Sokratis ............. …… 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Arsenal out of the title race by September 2018 with Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight by October 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 3 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 5 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Arsenal

….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 2 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Everton
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 3 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Manchester United

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 5 ….. 1 … 0 … 19 ….. 3 … 16 … … 16 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 5 ….. 0 … 0 … 12 ….. 1 … 11 … … 15 … Liverpool
….. 4 ….. 1 … 0 … 11 ….. 2 ….. 9 … … 13 … Chelski
….. 4 ….. 0 … 0 … 10 ….. 4 ….. 6 … … 12 … Arsenal
….. 4 ….. 0 … 1 … 10 ….. 5 ….. 5 … … 12 … Tiny Totts
….. 3 ….. 1 … 2 … 10 ….. 9 ….. 1 … … 10 … Manchester United
….. 2 ….. 3 … 1 … 11 ….. 9 ….. 2 … ….. 6 … Everton


Look more and more likely that it will be ManU and Arsenal that will miss out Top-4 Finish.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.
Last season, Top-7 results against Bottom-13 teams lined up perfectly with League Table position.




'If you want to be unhappy, just compare.' Chinese Proverb

'Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm.' Winston Churchill

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
tigerline (IP Logged)
04 October, 2018 19:36
Three different players getting their first-ever goals for Arsenal ... What are the odds?!?

Hey Merl, don't forget to add Smith-Rowe to your list of 25 potential goal scorers (and it HAS TO be 0 goals expectation) ... he might just be getting warmed up.

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
05 October, 2018 06:17
October 4, 2018 -- Round #7, Match #10
Qarabag 0-3 Arsenal
[Sokratis, Smith-Rowe, Guendouzi]

October 7, 2018 -- Round #8, Match #11
Fulham vs Arsenal
[]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 50.00% out of 65% expectation … 12 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 29.17% out of 25% expectation ….. 7 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 12.50% out of 07% expectation ….. 3 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 8.33% out of 03% expectation ….. 2 out of 04 goals expectation.

If we are to regain Top-4 status, STRIKERS must start scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 3 goals scored = 3.00 goals per game after playing 1 League Cup games.
….. 7 goals scored = 3.50 goals per game after playing 2 Europa Cup games.
… 14 goals scored = 2.00 goals per game after playing 7 League games.
… 24 goals scored = 2.40 goals per game after playing 10 total games; or 144 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.

9th goal scorer – Xhaka
10th goal scorer – Ozil
11th goal scorer – Sokratis
12th goal scorer – Smith-Rowe
13th goal scorer – Guendouzi

We have 13 different goal scorers for our first 10 games!

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 02 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 03 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 06 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 07 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 10 ... 03 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 14 ... 04 ... 02 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 15 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 19 ... 04 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 21 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 22 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 23 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 24 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Reiss Nelson
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 4 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Welbeck................…. 4 goals out of 16 goals expectation
03) Lacazette................... 3 goals out of 25 goals expectation
04) Ozil ........................ .. 3 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 2 goals out of 4 goals expectation

06) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
07) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... .. 1 goals out of 3 goals expectation
11) Smith-Rowe .........….. 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Sokratis ............. …… 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation

11) Ramsey..................... 0 goals out of 8 goals expectation
12) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
13) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
14) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
15) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
16) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
17) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

19) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
20) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
21) Reiss Nelson .......... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
22) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
tigerline (IP Logged)
05 October, 2018 11:50
Excellent!
Exciting stuff, Merl.
It is always good to see the names in bold.
(Sm128)

But check your numbering of the list of goal scorers. There are 26 named, you have two sets of “11, 12, 13”, and no No. 18 in the list.

See that?
Somebody out here is reading and appreciating your noble efforts. (Sm151)

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
05 October, 2018 15:07
Thanks Tiger! (Sm128)



'If you want to be unhappy, just compare.' Chinese Proverb

'Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm.' Winston Churchill

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Willy (IP Logged)
05 October, 2018 15:41
Interesting to see no penalties so far, maybe Lacazette doesn't go down and Auba runs/plays the ball too quickly to be fouled

 
Re: Score 130 goals in 2018/19 season?
Merlion96 (IP Logged)
08 October, 2018 06:42
Aug to Dec 2018 League Performance … LLW WWWW W
Jan to May 2019 League Performance …

October 4, 2018 -- Round #7, Match #10
Qarabag 0-3 Arsenal[Sokratis, Smith-Rowe, Guendouzi]

October 8, 2018 -- Round #8, Match #11
Fulham 1-5 Arsenal
[Lacazette (2), Ramsey, Aubameyang (2)]

The expectation for 130-goal 2018/19 season will be:
The STRIKERS are Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette, Danny Welbeck, Alex Iwobi and Eddie Nketiah.

STRIKERS contributed ..... 55.17% out of 65% expectation … 16 out of 84 goals expectation.
MIDFIELD contributed ...... 27.59% out of 25% expectation ….. 8 out of 33 goals expectation.
DEFENDER contributed … 10.34% out of 07% expectation ….. 3 out of 09 goals expectation.
"Dubious goal"...................... 6.90% out of 03% expectation ….. 2 out of 04 goals expectation.

We are in Top-4 now. STRIKERS must continue scoring at least every other game.

Maximum no. of games predicted = 38 + (6+6) Europa Cup + 8 Tin Cup + 2 FA Cup = 60 games.

….. 0 goals scored = 0.00 goals per game after playing FA Cup Round #3.
….. 3 goals scored = 3.00 goals per game after playing 1 League Cup games.
….. 7 goals scored = 3.50 goals per game after playing 2 Europa Cup games.
… 19 goals scored = 2.38 goals per game after playing 8 League games.
… 29 goals scored = 2.64 goals per game after playing 11 total games; or 158 goals after playing 60 games.

Mkhitaryan scored the first league goal of the season.
Aaron Ramsey is latest 14th goal scorer.

9th goal scorer – Xhaka
10th goal scorer – Ozil
11th goal scorer – Sokratis
12th goal scorer – Smith-Rowe
13th goal scorer – Guendouzi
14th goal scorer – Ramsey

We have 14 different goal scorers for our first 11 games!

The latest goal-scorer will be indicated at top of list:
….. Total ----- EPL - EC - FA -- CC
….. 01 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aaron Ramsey
….. 02 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Matteo Guendouzi
….. 03 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Emile Smith-Rowe
….. 04 ... 01 ... 00 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sokratis Papastathopoulos
….. 07 ... 03 ... 02 - 01 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mesut Ozil
….. 08 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Granit Xhaka
….. 13 ... 05 ... 04 - 00 -- 00 -- 01 --- Alexandre Lacazette
….. 19 ... 06 ... 04 - 02 -- 00 -- 00 --- Aubameyang
….. 20 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Shkodran Mustafi
….. 24 ... 04 ... 01 - 01 -- 00 -- 02 --- Danny Welbeck
….. 26 ... 02 ... 02 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- "own" goal or "dubious" goal
….. 27 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Nacho Monreal
….. 28 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Alex Iwobi
….. 29 ... 01 ... 01 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Henrikh Mkhitaryan

….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Ainsley Maitland-Niles
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Joe Willock
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Konstantinos Mavropanos
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Stephan Lichtsteiner
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Lucas Torreira
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Koscielny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Mo Elneny
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Eddie Nketiah
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Rob Holding
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Hector Bellerin
….. 00 ... 00 ... 00 - 00 -- 00 -- 00 --- Sead Kolasinac


Goal scorers.
01) Aubameyang ............ 6 goals out of 30 goals expectation
02) Lacazette................... 5 goals out of 25 goals expectation
03) Welbeck................…. 4 goals out of 16 goals expectation
04) Ozil ........................ .. 3 goals out of 8 goals expectation
05) “Dubious Goal” ...... .. 2 goals out of 4 goals expectation

06) Iwobi....................... .. 1 goals out of 10 goals expectation
07) Mkhitaryan ......... ….. 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation
08) Monreal................ …. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
09) Mustafi.................... .. 1 goals out of 2 goals expectation
10) Xhaka .................... .. 1 goals out of 5 goals expectation
11) Sokratis ............. …… 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
12) Smith-Rowe .........….. 1 goals out of 00 goals which exceeded expectation
13) Guedouzi ......... ….. .. 1 goals out of 1 goals which met expectation
14) Ramsey..................... 1 goals out of 8 goals expectation

15) Kolasinac............... …0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
16) Torreira................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
17) Bellerin................... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
18) Nketiah.................. … 0 goals out of 3 goals expectation
19) Koscielny ............... .. 0 goals out of 2 goals expectation
20) Elneny.................... .. 0 goals out of 1 goals expectation

21) Mavropanos ......... …..0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
22) Maitland-Niles ......... ..0 goals out of 1 goals expectation
23) Holding................ ….. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
24) Lichsteiner ............. .. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation
25) Joe Willock .............. 0 goals out of 0 goals expectation


Penalties –– 0 no. awarded –– 0 no. converted : x – 0 no. missed; .
….. Total ----- EPL – EC – FA – CC– Missed
….. 0 ..... 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ….. 0 ---- 0 ---

Arsenal out of the title race by September 2018 with Man City and Liverpool rampaging out of sight by October 2018?

Table A – “Traditional Top-7 Big Club” Mini-League:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 1 ….. 2 … 0 ….. 3 ….. 2 ….. 1 … ….. 5 … Liverpool
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 2 ….. 0 ….. 2 … ….. 4 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 1 ….. 1 … 0 ….. 4 ….. 3 ….. 1 … ….. 4 … Chelski
….. 1 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 4 ….. 2 ….. 2 … ….. 3 … Tiny Totts
….. 1 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 4 ….. 5 …. -1 … ….. 3 … Arsenal
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 2 …. -2 … ….. 0 … Everton
….. 0 ….. 0 … 1 ….. 0 ….. 3 …. -3 … ….. 0 … Manchester United

Arsenal results against Top-6 teams are inferior and why we are not Top-4 contender.
We had already lost 2 games, beat Everton and unlikely to match 2013/14 to 2015/16 results.
Below tabulation indicated that we are inferior to the Top-5 teams for the past 5 years.


Arsenal vs Top-6 Results Break-Down (MIC, MNU, LIV, CHE, TOT):
Season ….. W …. D … L ….. F …. A … +/- __ Points
2018/19 ….. 0 ….. 0 … 2 ….. 2 ….. 5 …. -3 … ….. 0
2017/18 ….. 1 ….. 3 … 6 … 11 … 20 …. -9 … ….. 6
2016/17 ….. 2 ….. 3 … 5 … 15 … 19 …. -4 … ….. 9
2015/16 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 15 … 15 ….. 0 … … 11
2014/15 ….. 2 ….. 5 … 3 … 14 … 13 ….. 1 … … 11
2013/14 ….. 3 ….. 3 … 4 ….. 7 … 19 …-12 … … 12


Table B – Comparison of the Top-7 team against Bottom-13 teams:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
….. 5 ….. 1 … 0 … 14 ….. 2 … 12 … … 16 … Chelski
….. 5 ….. 1 … 0 … 19 ….. 3 … 16 … … 16 … Abu Dhabi City
….. 5 ….. 0 … 0 … 12 ….. 1 … 11 … … 15 … Liverpool
….. 5 ….. 0 … 0 … 15 ….. 5 … 10 … … 15 … Arsenal
….. 5 ….. 0 … 1 … 11 ….. 5 ….. 6 … … 15 … Tiny Totts
….. 4 ….. 1 … 2 … 13 … 11 ….. 1 … … 13 … Manchester United
….. 3 ….. 3 … 1 … 13 … 10 ….. 3 … ….. 9 … Everton


Look more and more likely that it will be ManU and Tiny Totts that will miss out Top-4 Finish.
Table B indicated that winning a Top-4 spots depends very much on the ability of teams to collect maximum points against Bottom-13 teams.


Arsenal Bottom-13 Results Comparison:
….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 21 ….. 3 … 2 … 58 … 18 … 40 … … 66 … 2013/14
… 19 ….. 3 … 4 … 53 … 21 … 32 … … 60 … 2014/15
… 16 ….. 6 … 4 … 46 … 18 … 28 … … 54 … 2015/16
… 20 ….. 3 … 3 … 58 … 23 … 35 … … 63 … 2016/17
… 16 ….. 3 … 7 … 64 … 27 … 37 … … 51 … 2017/18
….. 5 ….. 0 … 0 … 15 ….. 5 … 10 … … 15 … 2018/19

We are perfect against Bottom-13 teams, winning all 5 games.
Arsenal will be Top-4 if they manage to collect 74 out of 78 points available against Bottom-13 teams.

Season … Finish …. W …. D …. L ….. F ….. A … +/- … Points
2018/19 ….. 4th ……. 6 ….. 0 ….. 2 … 19 … 10 ….. 9 … … 18 points – Arsenal
2017/18 ….. 6th ….. 19 ….. 6 … 13 … 74 … 51 … 23 … … 63 points – Arsenal
2016/17 ….. 5th ….. 23 ….. 6 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2015/16 …. 2nd ….. 20 … 11 ….. 7 … 65 … 34 … 31 … … 71 points – Arsenal
2014/15 ….. 3rd ….. 22 ….. 9 ….. 7 … 71 … 36 … 35 … … 75 points – Arsenal
2013/14 ….. 4th ….. 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 68 … 41 … 27 … … 79 points – Arsenal


Predictions for Arsenal 2018/19 results are:

….. W … D … L ….. F ….. A … +/- __ Points
… 24 ….. 7 ….. 7 … 77 … 33 … 44 … … 79 … 2018/19 – Most Optimistic
… 20 ….. 9 ….. 9 … 77 … 44 … 33 … … 69 … 2018/19 – Most likely
… 18 ….. 7 … 13 … 77 … 51 … 36 … … 61 … 2018/19 – Most Pessimistic




'If you want to be unhappy, just compare.' Chinese Proverb

'Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm.' Winston Churchill


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